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The Simple Econometrics of Tail Dependence

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TLDR
In this paper, the authors show that measures on tail dependence can be estimated in a convenient way by regression analysis, which yields the same estimates as the non-parametric method within the multivariate Extreme Value Theory framework.
Abstract
The aim of this paper is to show that measures on tail dependence can be estimated in a convenient way by regression analysis. This yields the same estimates as the non-parametric method within the multivariate Extreme Value Theory framework. The advantage of the regression approach is contained by its straightforward extension to the estimation of higher dimensional tail dependence. We provide an example on international stock markets. The regression approach to tail dependence can be applied to estimate several measures of systemic importance of financial institutions in the literature.

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When Diversification Fails

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Analysing Systemic Risk in the Chinese Banking System

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References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Is the correlation in international equity returns constant: 1960–1990?

TL;DR: In this article, the authors studied the correlation of monthly excess returns for seven major countries over the period 1960-90 and found that the international covariance and correlation matrices are unstable over time.
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International Asset Allocation With Regime Shifts

TL;DR: In this article, a dynamic portfolio choice problem of a U.S. investor faced with a time-varying investment opportunity set modeled using a regime-switching process is solved.
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Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure, which is not predisposed toward the normal distribution and can allow for nonlinear relationships.
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Extreme Value Dependence in Financial Markets: Diagnostics, Models, and Financial Implications

TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a general framework for identifying and modeling the joint-tail distribution based on multivariate extreme value theories, arguing that the multivariate approach is the most efficient and effective way to study extreme events such as systemic risk and crisis.
Posted Content

Back to the basics in banking ? A micro-analysis of banking system stability

TL;DR: The relationship between banks’ divergent strategies toward specialization and diversification of financial activities and their ability to withstand a banking sector crash is analyzed, which may explain why financial conglomerates trade at a discount.
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