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The Skew Risk Premium in the Equity Index Market

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TLDR
In this paper, the authors measure the skew risk premium in the equity index market through the skew swap, and they find that almost half of the implied volatility skew can be explained by the skewed risk premium.
Abstract
We measure the skew risk premium in the equity index market through the skew swap. We argue that just as variance swaps can be used to explore the relationship between the implied variance in option prices and realized variance, so too can skew swaps be used to explore the relationship between the skew in implied volatility and realized skew. Like the variance swap, the skew swap corresponds to a trading strategy, necessary to assess risk premia in a model-free way. We find that almost half of the implied volatility skew can be explained by the skew risk premium. We provide evidence that skew and variance premia are manifestations of the same underlying risk factor in the sense that strategies designed to exploit one of the risk premia but to hedge out the other make zero excess returns.

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Journal ArticleDOI

A general framework for discretely sampled realized variance derivatives in stochastic volatility models with jumps

TL;DR: A novel and efficient transform-based method to price swaps and options related to discretely-sampled realized variance under a general class of stochastic volatility models with jumps, utilizing frame duality and density projection method combined with a novel continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) weak approximation scheme of the underlying variance process.
Journal ArticleDOI

Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns

TL;DR: To explain the new empirical evidence, a model is developed that highlights the differential impact of upside and downside risk on equity and variance risk premia and predicts excess returns over the next one and two years.
Journal ArticleDOI

Risk Premia: Asymmetric Tail Risks and Excess Returns

TL;DR: This article showed that risk premium is strongly correlated with tail-risk skewness, but very little with volatility, and proposed an objective criterion to assess the quality of a risk premium portfolio.
Journal ArticleDOI

Risk Premia and the VIX Term Structure

TL;DR: The shape of the VIX term structure conveys information about the price of variance risk rather than expected changes in the Vix, a rejection of the expectations hypothesis as discussed by the authors, and a single principal component, Slope, summarizes nearly all this information, predicting the excess returns of S&P 500 variance swaps, VIX futures, and S&Ps 500 straddles for all maturities and to the exclusion of the rest of the term structure.
Journal ArticleDOI

Downside Variance Risk Premium

TL;DR: In this article, the prime de risque de variance en primes de risques a la hausse and a la baisse is decomposified, i.e., the difference entre les deux represent a mesure of the prime of risque dasymetri, the mesure rend compte de l'asymetrie des opinions au sujet des risques favorables ou defavorables.
References
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ReportDOI

A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix

Whitney K. Newey, +1 more
- 01 May 1987 - 
TL;DR: In this article, a simple method of calculating a heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix that is positive semi-definite by construction is described.
Posted Content

The Cross-Section of Volatility and Expected Returns

TL;DR: In this article, the authors examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns and find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns.
Posted Content

Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility

TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide a general framework for integration of high-frequency intraday data into the measurement, modeling and forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions.
Journal ArticleDOI

Variance Risk Premiums

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors propose a method for quantifying the variance risk premium on financial assets using the market prices of options written on this asset, which is an over-the-counter contract that pays the difference between a standard estimate of the realized variance and the fixed variance swap rate.
Posted Content

Bond Risk Premia

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors run regressions of annual excess returns on forward rates and find that a single factor predicts 1-year excess return on 1-5 year maturity bonds with an R2 up to 43%.
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