Journal ArticleDOI
The step-wise growth of electric generators size
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This article is published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change.The article was published on 1971-01-01. It has received 8 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Electric power & Electricity generation.read more
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Technological growth curves. A competition of forecasting models
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors proposed a new approach for selecting appropriate growth curve models for a given set of data, prior to fitting the models, based on the characteristics of the data sets.
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Market penetration by new innovations: The technological literature
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Forecasting of Fuel cell technology in hybrid and electric vehicles using Gompertz growth curve
TL;DR: The important aspect of evaluating the technology maturity of a particular technology will be the identification of important patent groups that form the technology and these groups are used to evaluate the upper limit of the technological growth curve.
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The multidimensional diffusion of technology
TL;DR: In this article, a theoretical model of multidimensional diffusion of technology is presented and illustrated by means of a case study, and a consideration of both qualitative and quantitative dimensions of the evolutionary process is a prerequisite to developing an adequate theory of diffusion and substitution of technology.
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A model of embodied technical change and employment
TL;DR: In this paper, a "vintage" framework is described for studying the effects of technical change on economic development, with particular attention being given to the level of employment, and it is shown that a variety of behavioral characteristics are produced when technical change does not occur smoothly; in particular, it is suggested that variations in rates of technical changes may act as a determinant of fluctuations in other economic variables.
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