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Journal ArticleDOI

Transfer function noise modelling of groundwater level fluctuation using threshold rainfall-based binary-weighted parameter estimation approach

TLDR
In this paper, a threshold rainfall-based binary-weighted least square method was adopted to estimate the TFN model parameters, which is tested on 26 observation wells distributed across the Adyar River basin in Southern India.
Abstract
Considerable uncertainty occurs in the parameter estimates of traditional rainfall–water level transfer function noise (TFN) models, especially with the models built using monthly time step datasets. This is due to the equal weights assigned for rainfall occurring during both water level rise and water level drop events while estimating the TFN model parameters using the least square technique. As an alternative to this approach, a threshold rainfall-based binary-weighted least square method was adopted to estimate the TFN model parameters. The efficacy of this binary-weighted approach in estimating the TFN model parameters was tested on 26 observation wells distributed across the Adyar River basin in Southern India. Model performance indices such as mean absolute error and coefficient of determination values showed that the proposed binary-weighted approach of fitting independent threshold-based TFN models for water level rise and water level drop scenarios considerably improves the model accurac...

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Citations
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Precipitation forecasting in Marmara region of Turkey

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used time series analysis to forecast the amount of future precipitation in Turkey's Marmara region based on the 51-year (1969-2019) historical data and the ARMA, ARIMA, and SARIMA models.
Journal ArticleDOI

A novel deseasonalized time series model with an improved seasonal estimate for groundwater level predictions

TL;DR: In this paper, an improved way of estimating the seasonal component by adopting a 13-month moving average trend and corresponding confidence interval approach has been attempted to test the proposed approach, two representative observation wells from Adyar basin, India were modeled by both traditional and proposed methods.
Journal ArticleDOI

A new trend function-based regression kriging for spatial modeling of groundwater hydraulic heads under the sparse distribution of measurement sites

TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed a new trend function with the mean groundwater level as a drift variable in the regression kriging approach to predict the groundwater levels at the unvisited locations.

PM2.5 Concentration Prediction Based on Winters’ and Fourier Analysis with Least Squares Methods in Çerkezköy district of Tekirdağ

TL;DR: In this paper, forecasting analysis for the future period was made by using the monthly average concentration values of Particulate Matter (PM2.5) causing air pollution in the Cerkezkoy district of Tekirdag province between January 2017 and April 2020.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Time series analysis, forecasting and control

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Journal ArticleDOI

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Time series modelling of water resources and environmental systems

TL;DR: Part 1 Scope and background material: Environmetrics, Science and Decision Making, and how to deal with messy environmental data.
Journal ArticleDOI

Streamflow drought time series forecasting

TL;DR: In this paper, a multiplicative seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model is applied to the monthly streamflow forecasting of the Zayandehrud River in western Isfahan province, Iran.
Journal ArticleDOI

Use of hydrologic time series data for identification of recharge mechanism in a fractured bedrock aquifer system

TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed the hydrologic time series data to characterize the hydrogeologic processes of a fractured bedrock aquifer system in Wonju, Korea and found that the seasonal difference in the system responses can be explained by the fall or rise of the water level that changes the transmission properties of the pressure pulse generated by rainfall.
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