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David J. Frame

Researcher at Victoria University of Wellington

Publications -  80
Citations -  9867

David J. Frame is an academic researcher from Victoria University of Wellington. The author has contributed to research in topics: Climate change & Global warming. The author has an hindex of 32, co-authored 74 publications receiving 8584 citations. Previous affiliations of David J. Frame include University of Canterbury & National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research.

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Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

TL;DR: A comprehensive probabilistic analysis aimed at quantifying GHG emission budgets for the 2000–50 period that would limit warming throughout the twenty-first century to below 2 °C, based on a combination of published distributions of climate system properties and observational constraints is provided.
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Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne

TL;DR: It is found that the peak warming caused by a given cumulative carbon dioxide emission is better constrained than the warming response to a stabilization scenario, and policy targets based on limiting cumulative emissions of carbon dioxide are likely to be more robust to scientific uncertainty than emission-rate or concentration targets.
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Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases.

TL;DR: Results from the ‘climateprediction.net’ experiment are presented, the first multi-thousand-member grand ensemble of simulations using a general circulation model and thereby explicitly resolving regional details, finding model versions as realistic as other state-of-the-art climate models but with climate sensitivities ranging from less than 2 K to more than 11’K.

Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties

TL;DR: These guidance notes are intended to assist the Lead Authors of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) in the consistent treatment of uncertainties across all three Working Groups as discussed by the authors, which can be used broadly for developing expert judgments and for evaluating and communicating the degree of certainty in findings of the assessment process.
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Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C

TL;DR: In this paper, a simple climate-carbon-cycle model with estimated ranges for key climate system properties from the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report is combined with a simple model to show that, with ambitious non-CO2 mitigation, net future cumulative CO2 emissions are unlikely to prove less than 250 GtC and unlikely greater than 540GtC.