J
Jan Kulveit
Researcher at University of Oxford
Publications - 11
Citations - 947
Jan Kulveit is an academic researcher from University of Oxford. The author has contributed to research in topics: Pandemic & Government. The author has an hindex of 4, co-authored 9 publications receiving 399 citations.
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Journal ArticleDOI
Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19.
Jan Markus Brauner,Sören Mindermann,Mrinank Sharma,David Johnston,John Salvatier,Tomáš Gavenčiak,Anna B. Stephenson,Gavin Leech,George T. Altman,Vladimir Mikulik,Alexander John Norman,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Tamay Besiroglu,Hong Ge,Meghan A. Hartwick,Yee Whye Teh,Leonid Chindelevitch,Leonid Chindelevitch,Yarin Gal,Jan Kulveit +21 more
TL;DR: The results indicate that, by using effective interventions, some countries could control the epidemic while avoiding stay-at-home orders, and this model accounts for uncertainty in key epidemiological parameters, such as the average delay from infection to death.
Journal ArticleDOI
Understanding the effectiveness of government interventions against the resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe.
Mrinank Sharma,Sören Mindermann,Charlie Rogers-Smith,Gavin Leech,Benedict E. K. Snodin,Janvi Ahuja,Jonas B. Sandbrink,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,George T. Altman,Gurpreet Dhaliwal,Gurpreet Dhaliwal,Lukas Finnveden,Alexander John Norman,Sebastian B. Oehm,Sebastian B. Oehm,Julia Fabienne Sandkühler,Laurence Aitchison,Tomáš Gavenčiak,Thomas A. Mellan,Jan Kulveit,Leonid Chindelevitch,Seth Flaxman,Yarin Gal,Swapnil Mishra,Swapnil Mishra,Samir Bhatt,Samir Bhatt,Samir Bhatt,Jan Markus Brauner +30 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors estimate the effectiveness of 17 nonpharmaceutical interventions in Europe's second wave from subnational case and death data by introducing a flexible hierarchical Bayesian transmission model and collecting the largest dataset of NPI implementation dates across Europe.
Posted ContentDOI
The effectiveness and perceived burden of nonpharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 transmission: a modelling study with 41 countries
Jan Markus Brauner,Sören Mindermann,Mrinank Sharma,Anna B. Stephenson,Tomáš Gavenčiak,David Johnston,John Salvatier,Gavin Leech,Tamay Besiroglu,George T. Altman,Hong Ge,Vladimir Mikulik,Meghan A. Hartwick,Yee Whye Teh,Leonid Chindelevitch,Yarin Gal,Jan Kulveit +16 more
TL;DR: The results suggest a surprisingly large role for schools in COVID-19 transmission, a contribution to the ongoing debate about the relevance of asymptomatic carriers in disease spreading.
Posted ContentDOI
Understanding the effectiveness of government interventions in Europe’s second wave of COVID-19
Mrinank Sharma,Sören Mindermann,Charlie Rogers-Smith,Gavin Leech,Benedict E. K. Snodin,Ahuja J,Jonas B. Sandbrink,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,George T. Altman,Dhaliwal G,Dhaliwal G,Lukas Finnveden,Alexander John Norman,Oehm Sb,Oehm Sb,Sandkühler Jf,Thomas A. Mellan,Jan Kulveit,Leonid Chindelevitch,Seth Flaxman,Yarin Gal,Sharmistha Mishra,Sharmistha Mishra,Jan Markus Brauner,Samir Bhatt,Samir Bhatt,Samir Bhatt +28 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors collected the largest dataset of NPI implementation dates in Europe, spanning 114 subnational areas in 7 countries, with a systematic categorisation of interventions tailored to the second wave.
Posted ContentDOI
Seasonal variation in SARS-CoV-2 transmission in temperate climates
Tomáš Gavenčiak,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Joshua Teperowski Monrad,Gavin Leech,Mrinank Sharma,Sören Mindermann,Jan Markus Brauner,Samir Bhatt,Jan Kulveit +9 more
TL;DR: A fully Bayesian method is adapted for estimating the association between seasonality and transmission in 143 temperate European regions and finds strong seasonal patterns, implying that the seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 transmission is comparable in magnitude to the most effective individual NPIs but less than the combined effect of multiple interventions.