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A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information

Robert C. Merton
- 01 Jul 1987 - 
- Vol. 42, Iss: 3, pp 483-510
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TLDR
The model financial economics encompasses finance, micro-investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty as mentioned in this paper, and it has had a direct and significant influence on practice, as is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory.
Abstract
THE SPHERE of model financial economics encompasses finance, micro investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty. As is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory, the boundaries of this sphere are both permeable and flexible. The complex interactions of time and uncertainty guarantee intellectual challenge and intrinsic excitement to the study of financial economics. Indeed, the mathematics of the subject contain some of the most interesting applications of probability and optimization theory. But for all its mathematical refinement, the research has nevertheless had a direct and significant influence on practice. ’ It was not always thus. Thirty years ago, finance theory was little more than a collection of anecdotes, rules of thumb, and manipulations of accounting data with an almost exclusive focus on corporate financial management. There is no need in this meeting of the guild to recount the subsequent evolution from this conceptual potpourri to a rigorous economic theory subjected to systematic empirical examination? Nor is there a need on this occasion to document the wide-ranging impact of the research on finance practice.2 I simply note that the conjoining of intrinsic intellectual interest with extrinsic application is a prevailing theme of research in financial economics. The later stages of this successful evolution have however been marked by a substantial accumulation of empirical anomalies; discoveries of theoretical inconsistencies; and a well-founded concern about the statistical power of many of the test methodologies.3 Finance thus finds itself today in the seemingly-paradoxical position of having more questions and empirical puzzles than at the start of its

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Financial development and economic growth : views and agenda

TL;DR: The authors argued that the preponderance of theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence suggests a positive first-order relationship between financial development and economic growth, and that financial development level is a good predictor of future rates of economic growth.
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Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects $

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that expected market illiquidity positively affects ex ante stock excess return, suggesting that expected stock ex ante excess return partly represents an illiquid price premium, which complements the cross-sectional positive return-illiquidity relationship.
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Information Asymmetry, Corporate Disclosure and the Capital Markets: A Review of the Empirical Disclosure Literature

TL;DR: Corporate disclosure is critical for the functioning of an efficient capital market as mentioned in this paper, and firms provide disclosure through regulated financial reports, including the financial statements, footnotes, management discussion and analysis, and other regulatory filings.
Journal ArticleDOI

Illiquidity and Stock Returns: Cross-Section and Time-Series Effects

TL;DR: In this paper, the effects of stock illiquidity on stock return have been investigated and it was shown that expected market illiquidities positively affects ex ante stock excess return (usually called risk premium) over time.
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Information asymmetry, corporate disclosure, and the capital markets: A review of the empirical disclosure literature $

TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide a framework for analyzing managers' reporting and disclosure decisions in a capital markets setting, and identify key research questions and key researchquestions, concluding that current research has generated a number of useful insights.
References
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The relationship between return and market value of common stocks

TL;DR: Scholes et al. as discussed by the authors examined the relationship between the total market value of the common stock of a firm and its return and found that small firms had higher risk adjusted returns than large firms.
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Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread

TL;DR: In this article, the effect of the bid-ask spread on asset pricing was studied and it was shown that market-observed expexted return is an increasing and concave function of the spread.
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Risk, uncertainty, and divergence of opinion

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explore the implications of a market with restricted short selling in which investors have differing estimates of the returns from investing in a risky security, and explain the very low returns on the stocks in the highest risk classes, the poor long run results on new issues of stocks, the presence of discounts from net value for closed end investment companies, and the lower than predicted rates of return for stocks with high systematic risk.
Journal ArticleDOI

A critique of the asset pricing theory's tests Part I: On past and potential testability of the theory

TL;DR: In this paper, a mathematical equivalence between the individual return/beta linearity relation and the market portfolio's mean-variance efficiency is discussed, which implies that every individual asset must be included in a correct test.