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A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information

Robert C. Merton
- 01 Jul 1987 - 
- Vol. 42, Iss: 3, pp 483-510
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TLDR
The model financial economics encompasses finance, micro-investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty as mentioned in this paper, and it has had a direct and significant influence on practice, as is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory.
Abstract
THE SPHERE of model financial economics encompasses finance, micro investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty. As is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory, the boundaries of this sphere are both permeable and flexible. The complex interactions of time and uncertainty guarantee intellectual challenge and intrinsic excitement to the study of financial economics. Indeed, the mathematics of the subject contain some of the most interesting applications of probability and optimization theory. But for all its mathematical refinement, the research has nevertheless had a direct and significant influence on practice. ’ It was not always thus. Thirty years ago, finance theory was little more than a collection of anecdotes, rules of thumb, and manipulations of accounting data with an almost exclusive focus on corporate financial management. There is no need in this meeting of the guild to recount the subsequent evolution from this conceptual potpourri to a rigorous economic theory subjected to systematic empirical examination? Nor is there a need on this occasion to document the wide-ranging impact of the research on finance practice.2 I simply note that the conjoining of intrinsic intellectual interest with extrinsic application is a prevailing theme of research in financial economics. The later stages of this successful evolution have however been marked by a substantial accumulation of empirical anomalies; discoveries of theoretical inconsistencies; and a well-founded concern about the statistical power of many of the test methodologies.3 Finance thus finds itself today in the seemingly-paradoxical position of having more questions and empirical puzzles than at the start of its

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Citations
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Speculative Betas: Speculative Betas

Harrison Hong, +1 more
- 01 Oct 2016 - 
Journal ArticleDOI

The Long-Term Effects of Cross-Listing, Investor Recognition, and Ownership Structure on Valuation

TL;DR: In this article, the widening of a foreign firm's U.S. investor base and the improved information environment associated with cross-listing on a US exchange each have a separately identifiable effect on a firm's valuation.
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Institutional Investors and Stock Market Liquidity: Trends and Relationships

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that institutional participation in the U.S. stock market in recent decades has played an ever increasing role in explaining cross-sectional variation in stock market illiquidity.
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Corporate Strategy, Analyst Coverage, and the Uniqueness Paradox

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors argue that uniqueness in strategy is a necessary condition for creating economic rents and should, except for this information cost, be positively associated with firm value, and find empirical support for both propositions using a novel measure of strategy uniqueness in a firm panel data set between 1985 and 2007.
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U.S. Investors' Emerging Market Equity Portfolios: A Security-Level Analysis

TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyze a unique data set and uncover a remarkable result that casts a new light on the home bias phenomenon, showing that at a point in time US portfolios are tilted towards firms that are large, have fewer restrictions on foreign ownership, or are cross-listed on a US exchange.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk*

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a body of positive microeconomic theory dealing with conditions of risk, which can be used to predict the behavior of capital marcets under certain conditions.
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The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice

TL;DR: The psychological principles that govern the perception of decision problems and the evaluation of probabilities and outcomes produce predictable shifts of preference when the same problem is framed in different ways.
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Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests

TL;DR: In this article, the relationship between average return and risk for New York Stock Exchange common stocks was tested using a two-parameter portfolio model and models of market equilibrium derived from the two parameter portfolio model.
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The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing

TL;DR: Ebsco as mentioned in this paper examines the arbitrage model of capital asset pricing as an alternative to the mean variance pricing model introduced by Sharpe, Lintner and Treynor.
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THE EQUITY PREMIUM A Puzzle

TL;DR: This paper showed that an equilibrium model which is not an Arrow-Debreu economy will be the one that simultaneously rationalizes both historically observed large average equity return and the small average risk-free return.