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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information

Robert C. Merton
- 01 Jul 1987 - 
- Vol. 42, Iss: 3, pp 483-510
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TLDR
The model financial economics encompasses finance, micro-investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty as mentioned in this paper, and it has had a direct and significant influence on practice, as is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory.
Abstract
THE SPHERE of model financial economics encompasses finance, micro investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty. As is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory, the boundaries of this sphere are both permeable and flexible. The complex interactions of time and uncertainty guarantee intellectual challenge and intrinsic excitement to the study of financial economics. Indeed, the mathematics of the subject contain some of the most interesting applications of probability and optimization theory. But for all its mathematical refinement, the research has nevertheless had a direct and significant influence on practice. ’ It was not always thus. Thirty years ago, finance theory was little more than a collection of anecdotes, rules of thumb, and manipulations of accounting data with an almost exclusive focus on corporate financial management. There is no need in this meeting of the guild to recount the subsequent evolution from this conceptual potpourri to a rigorous economic theory subjected to systematic empirical examination? Nor is there a need on this occasion to document the wide-ranging impact of the research on finance practice.2 I simply note that the conjoining of intrinsic intellectual interest with extrinsic application is a prevailing theme of research in financial economics. The later stages of this successful evolution have however been marked by a substantial accumulation of empirical anomalies; discoveries of theoretical inconsistencies; and a well-founded concern about the statistical power of many of the test methodologies.3 Finance thus finds itself today in the seemingly-paradoxical position of having more questions and empirical puzzles than at the start of its

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Foreign Portfolio Equity Investments, Financial Liberalization, and Economic Development

TL;DR: In this paper, the benefits and costs of FPIs from the perspective of the recipients are discussed and empirical evidence regarding the relationship between FPIs and market development, degree of capital market integration, cost of capital, cross-market correlation and market volatility is presented.
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Winners in the spotlight: Media coverage of fund holdings as a driver of flows $

TL;DR: The authors show that media coverage of mutual fund holdings affects how investors allocate money across funds, but only if these stocks were recently featured in the media, while holdings that were not covered in major newspapers do not affect flows.
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Trust, Sociability, and Stock Market Participation

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate the effects of both trust and sociability for stock market participation and find that sociability can induce stockholding among the less well off in Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland.
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Multi-market trading and arbitrage.

TL;DR: This paper measured arbitrage opportunities by comparing the intraday prices and quotes of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and other types of cross-listed shares in U.S. markets with synchronous prices of their home-market shares on a currency-adjusted basis for a sample of 506 cross listed stocks from 35 different countries.
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The Economic Effects of Employment Protection: Evidence from International Industry-Level Data

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the economic effects of employment protection legislation in a sample of developed and developing countries and found that more stringent legislation slowed down job turnover by a significant amount, and that this effect is more pronounced in sectors that are intrinsically more volatile.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk*

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a body of positive microeconomic theory dealing with conditions of risk, which can be used to predict the behavior of capital marcets under certain conditions.
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The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice

TL;DR: The psychological principles that govern the perception of decision problems and the evaluation of probabilities and outcomes produce predictable shifts of preference when the same problem is framed in different ways.
Journal ArticleDOI

Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests

TL;DR: In this article, the relationship between average return and risk for New York Stock Exchange common stocks was tested using a two-parameter portfolio model and models of market equilibrium derived from the two parameter portfolio model.
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The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing

TL;DR: Ebsco as mentioned in this paper examines the arbitrage model of capital asset pricing as an alternative to the mean variance pricing model introduced by Sharpe, Lintner and Treynor.
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THE EQUITY PREMIUM A Puzzle

TL;DR: This paper showed that an equilibrium model which is not an Arrow-Debreu economy will be the one that simultaneously rationalizes both historically observed large average equity return and the small average risk-free return.