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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information

Robert C. Merton
- 01 Jul 1987 - 
- Vol. 42, Iss: 3, pp 483-510
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TLDR
The model financial economics encompasses finance, micro-investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty as mentioned in this paper, and it has had a direct and significant influence on practice, as is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory.
Abstract
THE SPHERE of model financial economics encompasses finance, micro investment theory and much of the economics of uncertainty. As is evident from its influence on other branches of economics including public finance, industrial organization and monetary theory, the boundaries of this sphere are both permeable and flexible. The complex interactions of time and uncertainty guarantee intellectual challenge and intrinsic excitement to the study of financial economics. Indeed, the mathematics of the subject contain some of the most interesting applications of probability and optimization theory. But for all its mathematical refinement, the research has nevertheless had a direct and significant influence on practice. ’ It was not always thus. Thirty years ago, finance theory was little more than a collection of anecdotes, rules of thumb, and manipulations of accounting data with an almost exclusive focus on corporate financial management. There is no need in this meeting of the guild to recount the subsequent evolution from this conceptual potpourri to a rigorous economic theory subjected to systematic empirical examination? Nor is there a need on this occasion to document the wide-ranging impact of the research on finance practice.2 I simply note that the conjoining of intrinsic intellectual interest with extrinsic application is a prevailing theme of research in financial economics. The later stages of this successful evolution have however been marked by a substantial accumulation of empirical anomalies; discoveries of theoretical inconsistencies; and a well-founded concern about the statistical power of many of the test methodologies.3 Finance thus finds itself today in the seemingly-paradoxical position of having more questions and empirical puzzles than at the start of its

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Citations
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Volatility and the cross-section of corporate bond returns

TL;DR: In this article, the authors examined the pricing of volatility risk and idiosyncratic volatility in the cross-section of corporate bond returns for the period of 1994-2016 and found that bonds with high volatility betas have low expected returns, and this negative relation appears in all segments of corporate bonds.
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Why Do Demand Curves for Stocks Slope Down

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors propose a model where stock prices are set by two separate classes of investors, i.e., individual investors and money managers, who use that capital to price stocks in the cross section.
Book

Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns

TL;DR: The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research as discussed by the authors, and it is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.
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Managing Underwriters and the Marketing of Seasoned Equity Offerings

TL;DR: This paper showed that the number of managing underwriters for an SEO is negatively related to the offer price discount, especially when the relative offer size is large and the stock return volatility is high.
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Investor information search

TL;DR: This article analyzed survey results of investors in the US using information search, demographic, psychological, and involvement variables and found that the majority of investors perform moderate-to low-information gathering strategies, while higher-educated male investors with higher earnings were more likely to practice a high-information search strategy.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk*

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a body of positive microeconomic theory dealing with conditions of risk, which can be used to predict the behavior of capital marcets under certain conditions.
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The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice

TL;DR: The psychological principles that govern the perception of decision problems and the evaluation of probabilities and outcomes produce predictable shifts of preference when the same problem is framed in different ways.
Journal ArticleDOI

Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests

TL;DR: In this article, the relationship between average return and risk for New York Stock Exchange common stocks was tested using a two-parameter portfolio model and models of market equilibrium derived from the two parameter portfolio model.
Journal ArticleDOI

The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing

TL;DR: Ebsco as mentioned in this paper examines the arbitrage model of capital asset pricing as an alternative to the mean variance pricing model introduced by Sharpe, Lintner and Treynor.
Journal ArticleDOI

THE EQUITY PREMIUM A Puzzle

TL;DR: This paper showed that an equilibrium model which is not an Arrow-Debreu economy will be the one that simultaneously rationalizes both historically observed large average equity return and the small average risk-free return.