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An Empirical Analysis of Romania’s Comovement with the Euro Zone

TLDR
In this article, an empirical investigation of the degree of business cycle synchronization between Romania and the euro area, based on macroeconomic series that capture the cyclical features of the two economies, is presented.
Abstract
In light of adopting the euro in the near future, it is important to asses to which extent the Romanian business cycle evolves in a similar fashion with that of the euro zone. The present study is an empirical investigation of the degree of business cycle synchronization between Romania and the euro area, based on macroeconomic series that capture the cyclical features of the two economies. The results indicate that the most recent period, characterized by major economic and financial turmoil, has lead to an increase of the degree of comovement between of the Romanian economy with that of the euro area.

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Synchronization of Business Cycles in the Selected European Countries

TL;DR: In this article, the authors examined the synchronization of business cycles in Serbia and its neighbouring countries, taking the euro area as an optimum currency area, by applying the Hodrick-Prescott and the band-pass filtering filters, as well as the Pearson correlation coefficient and the Spearman rank correlation coefficient.
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Empirical Analysis of Business Cycle Synchronization and Shock Similarity Between Romania and the Eurozone

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors evaluate the degree of business cycle synchronization and the similarity of production structures between Romania and the eurozone, drawing a comparison with other new member states, concluding that it is less advisable for Romania to join the eurozone than for other countries in Central and Eastern Europe.
References
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Posted Content

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Market integration and contagion

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A Measure of Comovement for Economic Variables: Theory and Empirics

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Will business cycles in the euro area converge? a critical survey of empirical research

TL;DR: In this article, a survey of business cycle synchronization in the European monetary union focuses on two issues: have business cycles become more similar, and which factors drive business cycle synchronisation.
Journal ArticleDOI

Business Cycle Synchronization of the Euro Area with the New and Negotiating Member Countries

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examine business cycle synchronizations between the euro area and the recently acceded EU and currently negotiating countries, and find that all new EU members and negotiating countries have at least doubled their business cycle synchronization with the Euro area or changed from negative to positive correlations, since the early 1990s.