Commentary on "The number of undocumented immigrants in the United States: Estimates based on demographic modeling with data from 1990-2016".
TLDR
It is concluded that Fazel-Zarandi, Feinstein and Kaplan’s model produces estimates that have a 10 million-person range in 2016, far too wide to be useful for public policy purposes; their estimates are not benchmarked against any external data sources; and their model appears to be driven by assumptions about return migration of unauthorized immigrants during the 1990s.Abstract:
"The number of undocumented immigrants in the United States: Estimates based on demographic modeling with data from 1990-2016" by Fazel-Zarandi, Feinstein and Kaplan presents strikingly higher estimates of the unauthorized immigrant population than established estimates using the residual method Fazel-Zarandi et al's estimates range from a low or "conservative" number of 167 million unauthorized immigrants, to an "average" of 221 million, and to a high of 275 million The Pew Hispanic Center estimated the population at 113 million in 2016, and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) estimated it at 123 million The new method shows much more rapid growth in unauthorized immigration during the 1990s and a substantially higher population in 2000 (133 million according to their "conservative" model) than Pew (86 million) and DHS (85 million) In this commentary, we explain that such an estimate for 2000 is implausible, as it suggests that the 2000 Census undercounted the unauthorized immigrant population by at least 42% in the 2000 Census, and it is misaligned with other demographic data Fazel-Zarandi, Feinstein and Kaplan's model produces estimates that have a 10 million-person range in 2016, far too wide to be useful for public policy purposes; their estimates are not benchmarked against any external data sources; and their model appears to be driven by assumptions about return migration of unauthorized immigrants during the 1990s Using emigration rates from the binational Mexican Migration Project survey for the illegal border-crosser portion of the unauthorized population, we generate a 2000 unauthorized population estimate of 82 million-slightly below Pew and DHS's estimates-without changing other assumptions in the model We conclude that this new model's estimates are highly sensitive to assumptions about emigration, and moreover, that the knowledge base about emigration in the unauthorized population during the 1990s is not well enough developed to support the model underlying their estimatesread more
Citations
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Crossing the Border: Research from the Mexican Migration Project
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Journal ArticleDOI
Seeking Health below the Radar: Undocumented People’s access to healthcare in Two Dutch Cities
TL;DR: The study found that those in work or socially embedded in support networks or NGOs, were more likely to claim their health rights in practice, and rejected asylum seekers, more isolated on the whole, tended to access health care only in extreme situations or emergencies.
Journal ArticleDOI
Uncertainty About the Size of the Unauthorized Foreign-Born Population in the United States.
TL;DR: This article examined the extent to which estimates may plausibly vary owing to uncertainties in their underlying assumptions about coverage error, emigration, and mortality, and found that most of the range in residual estimates derives from uncertainty about emigration rates among legal permanent residents, naturalized citizens, and humanitarian entrants.
Book ChapterDOI
Introduction: Disentangling Language and the Social Determinants of Latinx Health in the United States
TL;DR: The authors in this paper provide definitions and clarifications of the nomenclature used throughout this volume, particularly the use of the pan-ethnic label and identifier, "Latinx", and outline major cross-cutting themes within this edited volume.
References
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Book
Beyond Smoke and Mirrors: Mexican Immigration in an Era of Economic Integration
TL;DR: Ghost in the Machine: Interventions in the Mexico-U.S. Immigration System as mentioned in this paper is an excellent survey of the history of Mexican immigration to the U.S., with a focus on the role of government intervention.
Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population Residing in the United States: January 2012
Bryan Baker,Nancy F. Rytina +1 more
TL;DR: Hoefer et al. as discussed by the authors provided estimates of the size of the unauthorized immigrant population residing in the United States as of January 2012 by period of entry, region and country of origin, state of residence, age, and sex.
Journal ArticleDOI
Controlling ‘Unwanted’ Immigration: Lessons from the United States, 1993–2004
TL;DR: The authors evaluate the strategy for controlling "unwanted" immigration that has been implemented by the US government since 1993, and suggest explanations for the failure of that strategy to achieve its stated objectives thus far.
Journal Article
Controlling 'Unwanted' Immigration: Lessons from the United States, 1993-2004
TL;DR: In this article, the authors evaluate the strategy for controlling "unwanted" immigration that has been implemented by the U.S. government since 1993, and suggest explanations for the failure of that strategy to achieve its stated objectives thus far.
Posted ContentDOI
The Changing Profile of Mexican Migrants to the United States: New Evidence from California and Mexico
TL;DR: The authors found that more recent cohorts of migrants are more likely to settle permanently in the United States, have higher proportions of females, younger, higher educational attainment, and are increasingly likely to originate in southern Mexico and the Mexico City metropolitan area.
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