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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

Data-Driven Bandwidth Selection in Local Polynomial Fitting: Variable Bandwidth and Spatial Adaptation

TLDR
In this article, the authors proposed a data-driven bandwidth selection procedure, which can be used to select both constant and variable bandwidths, based on a residual squares criterion along with a good approximation of the bias and variance of the estimator.
Abstract
When estimating a mean regression function and its derivatives, locally weighted least squares regression has proven to be a very attractive technique. The present paper focuses on the important issue of how to select the smoothing parameter or bandwidth. In the case of estimating curves with a complicated structure, a variable bandwidth is desirable. Furthermore, the bandwidth should be indicated by the data themselves. Recent developments in nonparametric smoothing techniques inspired us to propose such a data-driven bandwidth selection procedure, which can be used to select both constant and variable bandwidths. The idea is based on a residual squares criterion along with a good approximation of the bias and variance of the estimator. The procedure can be applied to select bandwidths not only for estimating the regression curve but also for estimating its derivatives. The resulting estimation procedure has the necessary flexibility for capturing complicated shapes of curves. This is illustrated via a large variety of testing examples, including examples with a large spatial variability. The results are also compared with wavelet thresholding techniques, and it seems that our results are at least comparable, i.e. local polynomial regression using our data-driven variable bandwidth has spatial adaptation properties that are similar to wavelets.

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Journal ArticleDOI

Child growth faltering dynamics in food insecure districts in rural Ethiopia

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors evaluated the dynamics and drivers of child growth faltering in children 6-23 months of age and found that consumption of animal source foods (ASF) was the statistically significant predictor of future linear growth.
Posted Content

A Nonparametric Model of Frontiers

TL;DR: In this article, a nonparametric regression frontier model is proposed that assumes no specific parametric family of densities for the unobserved stochastic component that represents efficiency in the model.
ReportDOI

Multi-step non- and semi-parametric predictive regressions for short and long horizon stock return prediction

TL;DR: In this article, the authors proposed three new predictive models: the multi-step nonparametric predictive regression model, the multiscale additive predictive regression (MSA-ARG) model, and the Multi-step time-varying coefficient (MTCC) model.
Posted Content

Forecasting and Tracking Real-Time Data Revisions in Inflation Persistence

TL;DR: In this article, the forecasting ability of sixty-two vintages of revised real-time PCE and core PCE using nonparametric methodologies was examined with rigor.
References
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BookDOI

Density estimation for statistics and data analysis

TL;DR: The Kernel Method for Multivariate Data: Three Important Methods and Density Estimation in Action.
Journal ArticleDOI

Robust Locally Weighted Regression and Smoothing Scatterplots

TL;DR: Robust locally weighted regression as discussed by the authors is a method for smoothing a scatterplot, in which the fitted value at z k is the value of a polynomial fit to the data using weighted least squares, where the weight for (x i, y i ) is large if x i is close to x k and small if it is not.
Journal ArticleDOI

Ideal spatial adaptation by wavelet shrinkage

TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed a spatially adaptive method, RiskShrink, which works by shrinkage of empirical wavelet coefficients, and achieved a performance within a factor log 2 n of the ideal performance of piecewise polynomial and variable-knot spline methods.
Journal ArticleDOI

Locally Weighted Regression: An Approach to Regression Analysis by Local Fitting

TL;DR: Locally weighted regression as discussed by the authors is a way of estimating a regression surface through a multivariate smoothing procedure, fitting a function of the independent variables locally and in a moving fashion analogous to how a moving average is computed for a time series.
Journal ArticleDOI

Smoothing Noisy Data with Spline Functions Estimating the Correct Degree of Smoothing by the Method of Generalized Cross-Validation*

Peter Craven, +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a method for estimating the optimum amount of smoothing from the data is presented, based on smoothing splines, which is well known to provide nice curves which smooth discrete, noisy data.