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Mapping landslide susceptibility with logistic regression, multiple adaptive regression splines, classification and regression trees, and maximum entropy methods: a comparative study

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TLDR
Four statistical techniques for modelling landslide susceptibility were compared and the inclusion of lithology improves the model performance, and the best AUC values for single models are MLR, MARS, CART, and MAXENT.
Abstract
Four statistical techniques for modelling landslide susceptibility were compared: multiple logistic regression (MLR), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), classification and regression trees (CART), and maximum entropy (MAXENT). According to the literature, MARS and MAXENT have never been used in landslide susceptibility modelling, and CART has been used only twice. Twenty independent variables were used as predictors, including lithology as a categorical variable. Two sets of random samples were used, for a total of 90 model replicates (with and without lithology, and with different proportions of positive and negative data). The model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) statistic. The main results are (a) the inclusion of lithology improves the model performance; (b) the best AUC values for single models are MLR (0.76), MARS (0.76), CART (0.77), and MAXENT (0.78); (c) a smaller amount of negative data provides better results; (d) the models with the highest prediction capability are obtained with MAXENT and CART; and (e) the combination of different models is a way to evaluate the model reliability. We further discuss some key issues in landslide modelling, including the influence of the various methods that we used, the sample size, and the random replicate procedures.

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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI

Spatial prediction models for shallow landslide hazards: a comparative assessment of the efficacy of support vector machines, artificial neural networks, kernel logistic regression, and logistic model tree

TL;DR: This study introduces a framework for training and validation of shallow landslide susceptibility models by using the latest statistical methods and demonstrates the benefit of selecting the optimal machine learning techniques with proper conditioning selection method in shallow landslide susceptible mapping.
Journal ArticleDOI

A comparative study of logistic model tree, random forest, and classification and regression tree models for spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used three state-of-the-art data mining techniques, namely, logistic model tree (LMT), random forest (RF), and classification and regression tree (CART) models, to map landslide susceptibility.
Journal ArticleDOI

Landslide susceptibility estimation by random forests technique: sensitivity and scaling issues

TL;DR: The dimension of parameter space, the mapping unit and the training process strongly influence the classification accuracy and the prediction process, which implies that a careful sensitivity analysis making use of traditional and new tools should always be performed before producing final susceptibility maps at all levels and scales.
Journal ArticleDOI

Landslide susceptibility mapping using index of entropy and conditional probability models in GIS: Safarood Basin, Iran

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used an index of entropy and conditional probability model to produce landslide susceptibility maps at Safarood basin, Iran using two statistical models such as an Index of Entropy and Conditional Probability and to compare the obtained results.
References
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Book

The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors describe the important ideas in these areas in a common conceptual framework, and the emphasis is on concepts rather than mathematics, with a liberal use of color graphics.
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TL;DR: The methodology used to construct tree structured rules is the focus of a monograph as mentioned in this paper, covering the use of trees as a data analysis method, and in a more mathematical framework, proving some of their fundamental properties.
Journal ArticleDOI

Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions

TL;DR: In this paper, the use of the maximum entropy method (Maxent) for modeling species geographic distributions with presence-only data was introduced, which is a general-purpose machine learning method with a simple and precise mathematical formulation.
Journal ArticleDOI

A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases.

James A. Hanley, +1 more
- 01 Sep 1983 - 
TL;DR: This paper refines the statistical comparison of the areas under two ROC curves derived from the same set of patients by taking into account the correlation between the areas that is induced by the paired nature of the data.
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