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Nonlinear Dynamics and Stock Returns.
Jose A. Scheinkman,Blake LeBaron +1 more
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TLDR
The authors apply procedures to stock returns and find evidence that indicates the presence of nonlinear dependence on weekly returns from the Center for Research in Security Prices value-weighted index.Abstract:
Simple deterministic systems are capable of generating chaotic output that "mimics" the output of stochastic systems. For this reason, algorithms have been developed to distinguish between these two alternatives. These algorithms and related statistical tests are also useful in detecting the presence of nonlinear dependence in time series. In this article, the authors apply these procedures to stock returns and find evidence that indicates the presence of nonlinear dependence on weekly returns from the Center for Research in Security Prices value-weighted index. Copyright 1989 by the University of Chicago.read more
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ARCH modeling in finance: A review of the theory and empirical evidence
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Testing for Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality in the Stock Price-Volume Relation
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References
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Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation
TL;DR: In this article, a new class of stochastic processes called autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) processes are introduced, which are mean zero, serially uncorrelated processes with nonconstant variances conditional on the past, but constant unconditional variances.
Journal ArticleDOI
Efficient capital markets: a review of theory and empirical work*
TL;DR: Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work Author(s): Eugene Fama Source: The Journal of Finance, Vol. 25, No. 2, Papers and Proceedings of the Twenty-Eighth Annual Meeting of the American Finance Association New York, N.Y. December, 28-30, 1969 (May, 1970), pp. 383-417 as mentioned in this paper
Book
The jackknife, the bootstrap, and other resampling plans
TL;DR: The Delta Method and the Influence Function Cross-Validation, Jackknife and Bootstrap Balanced Repeated Replication (half-sampling) Random Subsampling Nonparametric Confidence Intervals as mentioned in this paper.
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THE EQUITY PREMIUM A Puzzle
Rajnish Mehra,Edward C. Prescott +1 more
TL;DR: This paper showed that an equilibrium model which is not an Arrow-Debreu economy will be the one that simultaneously rationalizes both historically observed large average equity return and the small average risk-free return.
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Measuring the Strangeness of Strange Attractors
TL;DR: In this paper, the correlation exponent v is introduced as a characteristic measure of strange attractors which allows one to distinguish between deterministic chaos and random noise, and algorithms for extracting v from the time series of a single variable are proposed.