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Seismic Hazard Modeling for the Recovery of Christchurch

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TLDR
New time-dependent seismicity models for the Christchurch region reflect the greatly enhanced seismicity in the region at present, and the gradual decrease of the seismicity over the next few decad...
Abstract
New time-dependent seismicity models for the Christchurch region reflect the greatly enhanced seismicity in the region at present, and the gradual decrease of the seismicity over the next few decad...

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Citations
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The 2010–2011 Canterbury Earthquake Sequence: Environmental effects, seismic triggering thresholds and geologic legacy

TL;DR: The 2010-2011 Canterbury Earthquake Sequence (CES) as discussed by the authors is one of the best recorded historical earthquake sequences, including the moment magnitude (M w ) 7.1 Darfield earthquake and M w 6.2, 6.0, 5.9 and 5.8 aftershocks.
Journal ArticleDOI

Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change

TL;DR: The need for formalized approaches to unifying numerical modelling with expert judgement is highlighted in order to facilitate characterization of uncertainty in a reproducible, consistent and transparent fashion and recommend indicators or signposts that characterize successful science-based uncertainty quantification.
Journal ArticleDOI

Operational Earthquake Forecasting Can Enhance Earthquake Preparedness

TL;DR: The front end of an operational earthquake forecasting system should be an interface for continually providing forecasting information that is timely, authoritative, and properly conditioned to serve multiple end users, including the general public.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Statistical Models for Earthquake Occurrences and Residual Analysis for Point Processes

TL;DR: Several classes of stochastic models for the origin times and magnitudes of earthquakes are discussed and the utility of seismic quiescence for the prediction of a major earthquake is investigated.
Journal ArticleDOI

Liquefaction Resistance of Soils: Summary Report from the 1996 NCEER and 1998 NCEER/NSF Workshops on Evaluation of Liquefaction Resistance of Soils

TL;DR: In 1996, a workshop sponsored by the National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (NCEER) was convened by Professors T. L. Youd and I. M. Idriss with 20 experts to review developments over the previous 10 years as mentioned in this paper.
Journal ArticleDOI

Space-Time Point-Process Models for Earthquake Occurrences

TL;DR: Several space-time statistical models are constructed based on both classical empirical studies of clustering and some more speculative hypotheses, and the goodness-of-fit of the models, as measured by AIC values, is discussed for two high quality data sets, in different tectonic regions as mentioned in this paper.
Journal ArticleDOI

Earthquake Ground-Motion Prediction Equations for Eastern North America

TL;DR: In this article, a stochastic finite-fault model was used to predict ground motion for hard-rock and soil sites in eastern North America (ENA), including estimates of their aleatory uncertainty (vari- ability).
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