scispace - formally typeset
Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

Serial production line performance under random variation: Dealing with the ‘Law of Variability’

Reads0
Chats0
TLDR
Reading this paper provides readers the foundational knowledge needed to develop intuition and insights on the complexities of stochastic simple serial lines, and serves as a guide to better understand and manage the effects of variability and design factors related to improving serial production line performance.
About
This article is published in Journal of Manufacturing Systems.The article was published on 2019-01-01 and is currently open access. It has received 32 citations till now.

read more

Citations
More filters

The asymptotic variance of departures in critically loaded queues

TL;DR: In this article, the authors considered the asymptotic variance of the departure counting process of the GI/G/1 queue and showed that the departures variability has a singularity in case the system load is 1.
Journal ArticleDOI

Fuzzy activity time-based model predictive control of open-station assembly lines

TL;DR: The results confirm that the application of the proposed algorithm is widely applicable in cases where a production line of a supply chain is not well balanced and the activity times are uncertain.
Journal ArticleDOI

Data-Enabled Modeling and Analysis of Multistage Manufacturing Systems with Quality Rework Loops

TL;DR: An event-based data-enabled mathematical model is developed and permanent production loss attribution to each disruption event and machine can be used as real-time performance indicators to diagnose production system inefficiency.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Studying the Recrystallization of Cu(InGa)Se 2 Semiconductor Thin Films by Silver Bromide In-situ Treatment

TL;DR: In this article, a 3-stage thermal co-evaporation process on molybdenum back contact at low temperature was used to produce small grains transformed into large grains, as confirmed by XRD and SEM measurements.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Study of Indium Chloride Vapor Treatment on Cu(In,Ga)Se 2 Semiconductor Thin Films

TL;DR: In this paper, the recrystallization by indium chloride of Cu(In,Ga)Se 2 thin films deposited by co-evaporation at 350°C was studied.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI

Relations between volume flexibility and part cost in assembly lines

TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a strategy for achieving volume flexibility in assembly lines, so that varying production demands can be met by providing assembly lines inherent cycle-time flexibility, through creating the possibility for operators to handle multiple work stations.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Autocorrelation effects in manufacturing systems performance: a simulation analysis

TL;DR: A simulation analysis of the effects on performance caused by manufacturing process parameters following autoregressive (AR) processes and a case study from the natural slate tiles industry is presented showing the differences obtained.
Journal ArticleDOI

Autocorrelation in queuing network-type production systems—Revisited

TL;DR: relevant and ‘realistic’ types of autocorrelation schemes are characterized and their levels discussed and the paper puts previous works on the impact of autcorrelation in queuing networks in perspective for production systems.
Journal ArticleDOI

Small sample uncertainty aspects in relation to bullwhip effect measurement

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyzed the bullwhip measurement implications in case the standard test assumptions are violated and illustrates how to improve on the testing setup, with a special emphasis on the unavoidable small-sample aspects relating to such measurement, which typically renders all statistical asymptotic or robust arguments quite unusable.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Sensitivity of output performance measures to input distribution shape in modeling queues—3: real data scenario

TL;DR: Empirical distributions made from histograms of the raw data itself, as well as the first two choices from Arena and ExpertFit are compared for this small bank queueing network model, showing that an output measure such as mean wait in queue is quite sensitive to input distribution choice.
Related Papers (5)
Frequently Asked Questions (14)
Q1. What are the contributions in "Serial production line performance under random variation_ dealing with the ‘law of variability’" ?

This paper fills this gap and provides readers the foundational knowledge needed to develop intuition and insights on the complexities of stochastic simple serial lines, and serves as a guide to better understand and manage the effects of variability and design factors related to improving serial production line performance, i. e. throughput, inter-departure time and flow time, under 

Addressing future research directions and opportunities, since most previous studies on simple serial lines focused on the single effects caused by processing time variance in the resulting mean throughput, mean flow time and variance of inter-departure time measures, more efforts are needed to study the impact of specific and various combined factors on particular performance measures. Therefore, further research considering more realistic probability distributions is needed as it has been previously shown that queueing network models are highly sensitive to the choice of the probability distribution modelling input distributions [ 37,39,110,111 ]. In terms of measure development, another worthy research direction would be to extend proposed work by Delp et al. [ 76 ] and Wu et al. [ 56 ], to directly assess the variability of a production line, or more precisely, the impact that the many variability factors ( e. g., variance, skewness and auto-correlation of inter-arrival and processing times, and unreliability, etc. ) have on the overall performance of the production line. A similar reference compilation on more complex production line results, such as assembly lines with merging materials [ 113,118 ], setup times [ 119,120 ], quality concerns [ 121 ], or multiple-product serial lines [ 122–124 ] could be useful to better understand the effects of variability in different production environments and further extend the reach of the ‘ Law of Variability ’. 

One of the most widely accepted conclusions about serial line design is that balanced stochastic serial lines, if comparing two saturated lines with the same assumed TH̄ , perform worse than unbalanced lines [25,59], which have a protective capacity to deal with processing time uncertainty. 

The fields of Queueing Theory and Production Management have comprehensively investigated the behaviour of serial production lines under variability. 

On the other hand, longer lines with lower MTTR values, by having higher TH̄ values, have lesser constraints on the possible values that the throughput can take, and therefore, lower MTTR values will result in higher Var(TH). 

Hillier and Boling [64] and Conway et al. [26] showed that longer saturated lines with uniform and exponential processing times and smaller buffers reduced TH̄ in balanced saturated lines, because longer lines and smaller buffers resulted in more station blocking and starving. 

In Theory of Constraints terms, TH is important for a company because it is the rate at which a factory produces money per time unit. 

They demonstrated that for saturated lines with n=3, exponential processing times with a mean processing rate equal to 1 and a significantly big buffer size per station equal to 100, TH̄ of the production line was less than 1 (i.e. 0.9866), indicating that, even when the buffer size is not a significant constraint on the system, throughput is affected by the processing times’ variance. 

When considering the amount of B placed in front of stations in balanced saturated serial lines with limited buffer capacity, Lambrecht and Segaert [57] suggested that if possible, buffers should be placedevenly along the whole serial line. 

Since it has been shown that the departure process of single-resource lines is not a renewal process [44,45] (unless the distribution of inter-arrival and service times is exponential [46]), this suggests the importance auto-correlated arrival effects. 

They also showed that by reducing the variance of processing times, overall TH̄ increased, without reaching TH̄ equal to 1, the value expected for deterministic serial lines. 

This effect is not present in shorter lines because the throughput is not as constrained as in longer lines, due to the smaller interference among the stations. 

This subsection defines three complementary measures that have most commonly been used to assess the performance of simple serial lines: throughput, inter-departure times and flow times. 

Perhaps one of the most widely studied factors regarding variability has been the topic of machine unreliability in saturated serial lines.