The Efficacy of Influenza Vaccination in Elderly Individuals: A Randomized Double-blind Placebo-Controlled Trial

TLDR: In the elderly, influenza vaccination may halve the incidence of serological and clinical influenza (in periods of antigenic drift), which is less pronounced for self-reported influenza.

Abstract: Objective. —To determine the efficacy of influenza vaccination in elderly people. Design. —Randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial. Setting. —Fifteen family practices in the Netherlands during influenza season 1991-1992. Participants. —A total of 1838 subjects aged 60 years or older, not known as belonging to those high-risk groups in which vaccination was previously given. Intervention. —Purified split-virion vaccine containing A/Singapore/6/86(H1N1), A/Beijing/353/89(H3N2), B/Beijing/1/87, and B/Panama/45/90 (n=927) or intramuscular placebo containing physiological saline solution (n=911). Main Outcome Measures. —Patients presenting with influenzalike illness up to 5 months after vaccination; self-reported influenza in postal questionnaires 10 weeks and 5 months after vaccination; serological influenza (fourfold increase of antibody titer between 3 weeks and 5 months after vaccination). Results. —The incidence of serological influenza was 4% in the vaccine group and 9% in the placebo group (relative risk [RR], 0.50; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.35 to 0.61). The incidences of clinical influenza were 2% and 3%, respectively (RR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.73). The effect was strongest for the combination of serological and clinical influenza (RR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23 to 0.74). The effect was less pronounced for self-reported influenza. Conclusion. —In the elderly, influenza vaccination may halve the incidence of serological and clinical influenza (in periods of antigenic drift). (JAMA. 1994;272:1661-1665)