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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

The impact of climate change on birds: Impact of climate change on birds

Humphrey Q. P. Crick
- 23 Sep 2004 - 
- Vol. 146, pp 48-56
TLDR
Although there is a substantial body of evidence for changes in the phenology of birds, particularly of the timing of migration and of nesting, the consequences of these responses for a species’ population dynamics is still an area requiring in-depth research.
Abstract
Weather is of major importance for the population dynamics of birds, but the implications of climate change have only recently begun to be addressed. There is already compelling evidence that birds have been affected by recent climate changes. This review suggests that although there is a substantial body of evidence for changes in the phenology of birds, particularly of the timing of migration and of nesting, the consequences of these responses for a species’ population dynamics is still an area requiring in-depth research. The potential for phenological miscuing (responding inappropriately to climate change, including a lack of response) and for phenological disjunction (in which a bird species becomes out of synchrony with its environment) are beginning to be demonstrated, and are also important areas for further research. The study of climatically induced distributional change is currently at a predictive modelling stage, and will need to develop methods for testing these predictions. Overall, there is a range of intrinsic and extrinsic factors that could potentially inhibit adaptation to climate change and these are a high priority for research.

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Citations
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Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change

TL;DR: In this article, the authors provided a first independent validation of four envelope modelling techniques under climate change. And they showed good to fair predictive performance on independent validation, although rules used to assess model performance are difficult to interpret in decision-planning context.
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Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modelling under climate change

TL;DR: In this article, the authors review a number of critical methodological issues that may lead to uncertainty in predictions from bioclimatic modelling. But, they conclude that, although biOClimatic envelope models have important advantages, they need to be applied only when users of models have a thorough understanding of their limitations and uncertainties.
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Reducing uncertainty in projections of extinction risk from climate change

TL;DR: The results provide the first empirical evidence of the value of species–climate ‘envelope’ models under climate change and demonstrate reduction in uncertainty and improvement in accuracy through selection of the most consensual projections.
Journal ArticleDOI

Why are bird migration dates shifting? A review of weather and climate effects on avian migratory phenology

TL;DR: The use of climatic indices is spreading because they have the advantage of synthesizing weather conditions into a single variable as mentioned in this paper, and it is mostly accepted that recent shifts in migration dates are a reaction to present climate change.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems

TL;DR: A diagnostic fingerprint of temporal and spatial ‘sign-switching’ responses uniquely predicted by twentieth century climate trends is defined and generates ‘very high confidence’ (as laid down by the IPCC) that climate change is already affecting living systems.
Journal ArticleDOI

Ecological responses to recent climate change.

TL;DR: A review of the ecological impacts of recent climate change exposes a coherent pattern of ecological change across systems, from polar terrestrial to tropical marine environments.
Journal ArticleDOI

Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants

TL;DR: A consistent temperature-related shift is revealed in species ranging from molluscs to mammals and from grasses to trees, suggesting that a significant impact of global warming is already discernible in animal and plant populations.
Book

Population Limitation in Birds

Ian Newton, +1 more
TL;DR: This book discusses Habitat and Density Regulation, Habitat Fragments and Metapopulations, and Interactions Between Different Limiting Factors.
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