Over 1 million residents in the USA and 2.5 million in Europe are estimated to have IBD, with substantial costs for health care. These estimates do not factor in the 'real' price of IBD, which can impede career aspirations, instil social stigma and impair quality of life in patients. The majority of patients are diagnosed early in life and the incidence continues to rise; therefore, the effect of IBD on health-care systems will rise exponentially. Moreover, IBD has emerged in newly industrialized countries in Asia, South America and Middle East and has evolved into a global disease with rising prevalence in every continent. Understanding the worldwide epidemiological patterns of IBD will prepare us to manage the burden of IBD over time. The goal of this article is to establish the current epidemiology of IBD in the Western world, contrast it with the increase in IBD in newly industrialized countries and forecast the global effects of IBD in 2025.

The global burden of IBD: from 2015 to 2025

aDepartment of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of Porto; MedInUP, Centre for Drug Discovery and Innovative Medicines; Centro Hospitalar São João, Porto, Portugal bIBD Unit, DIMEC, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy cDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel dGastrointestinal Unit ASST Fatebenefratelli Sacco—University of Milan—Milan, Italy eIBD Unit Complesso Integrato Columbus, Gastroenterological and Endocrino-Metabolical Sciences Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Gemelli Universita’ Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy fDepartment of Gastroenterology, IBD Unit, University Hospital Santiago De Compostela (CHUS), A Coruña, Spain gDepartment of Gastroenterology, North Zealand University Hospital, Frederikssund, Denmark hFirst Department of Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary iIBD Unit, St Mark’s Hospital, Middlesex, UK jDepartment of Gastroenterology, University Hospital of Ghent, Ghent, Belgium kInstitute of Pathology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria lDepartment of Gastroenterology, Pennine Acute Hospitals NHS Trust; Institute of Inflammation and Repair, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK mUnit of General Surgery, Second University of Naples, Napoli, Italy nMaria Skłodowska-Curie Memorial Cancer Centre and Institute of Oncology, Department of Oncological Gastroenterology Warsaw; Medical Centre for Postgraduate Education, Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Oncology, Warsaw, Poland oDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK pImperial College London; Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, London, UK qDepartment of Pathobiology /NC22, Lerner Research Institute; Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition/A3, Digestive Disease and Surgery Institute, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, OH, USA

/pdf/third-european-evidence-based-consensus-on-diagnosis-and-2g4pj48jlg.pdf

Third European Evidence-based Consensus on Diagnosis and Management of Ulcerative Colitis. Part 1: Definitions, Diagnosis, Extra-intestinal Manifestations, Pregnancy, Cancer Surveillance, Surgery, and Ileo-anal Pouch Disorders.

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a global disease; its evolution can be stratified into four epidemiological stages: Emergence, Acceleration in Incidence, Compounding Prevalence and Prevalence Equilibrium. In 2020, developing countries are in the Emergence stage, newly industrialized countries are in the Acceleration in Incidence stage, and Western regions are in the Compounding Prevalence stage. Western regions will eventually transition to the Prevalence Equilibrium stage, in which the accelerating prevalence levels off as the IBD population ages and possibly as a result of an unexpected rise in mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mitigating the global burden of IBD will require concerted efforts in disease prevention and health-care delivery innovations that respond to changing demographics of the global IBD population. In this Perspective, we summarize the global epidemiology of IBD and use these data to stratify disease evolution into four epidemiological stages.

/pdf/the-four-epidemiological-stages-in-the-global-evolution-of-469my1enqb.pdf

The four epidemiological stages in the global evolution of inflammatory bowel disease.

Background and aims. The inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), are chronic relapsing disorders of unknown aetiology. The aim of this review is to present the latest epidemiology data on occurrence, disease course, risk for surgery, as well as mortality and cancer risks. Material and methods. Gold standard epidemiology data on the disease course and prognosis of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are based on unselected population-based cohort studies. Results. The incidence of ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn’s disease (CD) has increased overall in Europe from 6.0 per 100,000 person-years in UC and 1.0 per 100,000 person-years in CD in 1962 to 9.8 per 100,000 person-years and 6.3 per 100,000 person-years in 2010, respectively. The highest incidence of IBD is found on the Faroe Islands. Overall, surgery rates have been declining over the last decades, partly due to aggressive medical therapy. Among IBD patients, mortality risk is increased...

The epidemiology of inflammatory bowel disease.

Natural History of Adult Ulcerative Colitis in Population-based Cohorts: A Systematic Review

Objective: The incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is increasing in Eastern Europe. The reasons for these changes remain unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate whether an East– ...

/pdf/east-west-gradient-in-the-incidence-of-inflammatory-bowel-3ouyr6lihq.pdf

East–West gradient in the incidence of inflammatory bowel disease in Europe: the ECCO-EpiCom inception cohort

/pdf/incidence-and-initial-disease-course-of-inflammatory-bowel-3ubjheu1ud.pdf

I Mihu

Papers

East–West gradient in the incidence of inflammatory bowel disease in Europe: the ECCO-EpiCom inception cohort

Incidence and initial disease course of inflammatory bowel diseases in 2011 in Europe and Australia: results of the 2011 ECCO-EpiCom inception cohort.