Lisa Goddard

TL;DR: In this paper, an experimental framework to address decadal predictability/prediction is described and incorporated into the coordinated Coupled Model Intercomparison Model, phase 5 (CMIP5), some of which will be assessed for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5).

TL;DR: This article presented an assessment of the current state of knowledge and capability in seasonal climate prediction at the end of the 20th century, including the theory and empirical evidence for predictability, predictions of surface boundary conditions, such as sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and predictions of the climate.

TL;DR: This paper provided an update on research in the relatively new and fast-moving field of decadal climate prediction, and addressed the use of Decadal climate predictions not only for potential users of such information but also for improving our understanding of processes in the climate system.

TL;DR: In this paper, the relative contributions of the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures (SSTs) to the rainfall variability over eastern central, and southern Africa during the austral spring-summer are examined.

TL;DR: In this paper, the percentage of times that seasonal precipitation over land areas was above, near, and below normal during the eight strongest El Nino and La Nina episodes are tabulated, and the significance levels of the posterior probabilities are calculated using the hypergeometric distribution.