R
R. Eade
Researcher at Met Office
Publications - 5
Citations - 122
R. Eade is an academic researcher from Met Office. The author has contributed to research in topics: Global warming & Forecast skill. The author has an hindex of 4, co-authored 5 publications receiving 36 citations.
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High risk of unprecedented UK rainfall in the current climate
TL;DR: Analysis of a large ensemble of high-resolution initialised climate simulations shows that this event could have been anticipated, and that in the current climate there remains a high chance of exceeding the observed record monthly rainfall totals in many regions of the UK.
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Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5°C
Doug Smith,Adam A. Scaife,Adam A. Scaife,Ed Hawkins,Roberto Bilbao,George J. Boer,Mihaela Caian,Louis-Philippe Caron,Gokhan Danabasoglu,Thomas L. Delworth,Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes,R. Doescher,Nick Dunstone,R. Eade,Leon Hermanson,Masao Ishii,Viatcheslav Kharin,Masahide Kimoto,Torben Koenigk,Yochanan Kushnir,Daniela Matei,Gerald A. Meehl,Martin Ménégoz,William J. Merryfield,Takashi Mochizuki,Wolfgang A. Müller,Wolfgang A. Müller,Holger Pohlmann,Scott B. Power,Michel Rixen,Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso,Matthias Tuma,Klaus Wyser,Xiaosong Yang,Stephen Yeager +34 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed a new capability to predict the probability that global temperature will exceed 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels in the coming 5 years, with virtually no chance of the 5-year mean being above the threshold.
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?Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and North Atlantic Jet: A Multimodel View from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project
Paolo Ruggieri,Alessio Bellucci,Dario Nicolì,Panos Athanasiadis,Silvio Gualdi,Christophe Cassou,Fred Castruccio,Gokhan Danabasoglu,Paolo Davini,Nick Dunstone,R. Eade,Guillaume Gastineau,Ben Harvey,Leon Hermanson,Saïd Qasmi,Yohan Ruprich-Robert,Emilia Sanchez-Gomez,Doug Smith,Simon Wild,Matteo Zampieri +19 more
TL;DR: In this article, the influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) on the North Atlantic storm track and eddy-driven jet in the winter season is assessed via a coordinated analysis of idealised simulations with state-of-the-art coupled models.
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Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles
Nick Dunstone,Doug Smith,Steve G. Yeager,Gokhan Danabasoglu,Paul-Arthur Monerie,Leon Hermanson,R. Eade,Sarah Ineson,Jon Robson,Adam A. Scaife,Adam A. Scaife,Hong-Li Ren,Hong-Li Ren +12 more
TL;DR: In this article, climate prediction skill on the interannual timescale, which sits between that of seasonal and decadal, is investigated using large ensembles from the Met Office and CESM initialised coupled prediction systems.
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Author Correction: Robust skill of decadal climate predictions (npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, (2019), 2, 1, (13), 10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y)
Doug Smith,R. Eade,Adam A. Scaife,Adam A. Scaife,Louis-Philippe Caron,Gokhan Danabasoglu,Timothy DelSole,Thomas L. Delworth,Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes,Nick Dunstone,Leon Hermanson,Viatcheslav Kharin,Masahide Kimoto,William J. Merryfield,Takashi Mochizuki,Wolfgang A. Müller,Holger Pohlmann,Steve G. Yeager,Xiaosong Yang +18 more
TL;DR: An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.