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Journal ArticleDOI

Beyond the Running Tally: Partisan Bias in Political Perceptions

Larry M. Bartels
- 01 Jun 2002 - 
- Vol. 24, Iss: 2, pp 117-150
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TLDR
This paper examined the impact of long-term partisan loyalties on perceptions of specific political figures and events and concluded that partisan bias in political perceptions plays a crucial role in perpetuating and reinforcing sharp differences in opinion between Democrats and Republicans.
Abstract
I examine the impact of long-term partisan loyalties on perceptions of specific political figures and events. In contrast to the notion of partisanship as a simple “running tally” of political assessments, I show that party identification is a pervasive dynamic force shaping citizens' perceptions of, and reactions to, the political world. My analysis employs panel data to isolate the impact of partisan bias in the context of a Bayesian model of opinion change; I also present more straightforward evidence of contrasts in Democrats' and Republicans' perceptions of “objective” politically relevant events. I conclude that partisan bias in political perceptions plays a crucial role in perpetuating and reinforcing sharp differences in opinion between Democrats and Republicans. This conclusion handsomely validates the emphasis placed by the authors of The American Voter on “the role of enduring partisan commitments in shaping attitudes toward political objects.”

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Journal ArticleDOI

Natural Disasters, ‘Partisan Retrospection,’ and U.S. Presidential Elections

TL;DR: This article examined the effects of Hurricane Sandy on the 2012 presidential election and found that voters' reactions to disaster damage were strongly conditioned by pre-existing partisanship, with counties that previously supported Obama reacting far more positively to the disaster damage than those that had earlier opposed him.
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Systematically Biased Beliefs about Political Influence: Evidence from the Perceptions of Political Influence on Policy Outcomes Survey

TL;DR: This article found that voters' understanding of which officials are responsible for which outcomes is systematically biased, and that retrospective voting becomes an independent source of political failure rather than a cure for it.
Journal ArticleDOI

Separating Candidate Valence and Proximity Voting: Determinants of Competitors’ Non-Policy Appeal*

TL;DR: This article showed that candidate valence is driven by candidate visibility in a party-dominated political system, rather than the candidate's policy preference, and showed that non-spatial considerations can trump voters' policy preferences in candidate selection.
Journal ArticleDOI

Liberal Leaders and Liberal Success: The Impact of Alternation

TL;DR: The early success of the pattern moved the Liberals to alternate between Quebec and non-Quebec leaders, such that the party is now led by a Quebecker more often than not as discussed by the authors.
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Crime News Effects and Democratic Accountability: Experimental Evidence From Repeated Exposure in a Multiweek Online Panel

TL;DR: In this article, the authors experimentally test how leader approval changes when crime loses prominence in news for a sustained period and find causal evidence that reducing crime news raises presidential approval and depresses problem importance evaluations for crime.
References
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Book

An Economic Theory of Democracy

Anthony Downs
TL;DR: Downs presents a rational calculus of voting that has inspired much of the later work on voting and turnout as discussed by the authors, particularly significant was his conclusion that a rational voter should almost never bother to vote.
Book

The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion

TL;DR: Zaller as discussed by the authors developed a comprehensive theory to explain how people acquire political information from elites and the mass media and convert it into political preferences, and applied this theory to the dynamics of public opinion on a broad range of subjects, including domestic and foreign policy, trust in government, racial equality, and presidential approval, as well as voting behaviour in U.S. House, Senate and presidential elections.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion.

D. Rucinski
- 01 Feb 1994 - 
TL;DR: The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion by John Zaller (1992) as discussed by the authors is a model of mass opinion formation that offers readers an introduction to the prevailing theory of opinion formation.