Determining tropical cyclone inland flooding loss on a large scale through a new flood peak ratio-based methodology
TLDR
In this article, the authors introduce a novel methodology that first successfully characterizes the spatial extent of inland flooding, and then quantifies its relationship with flood insurance claims, and empirically demonstrate in a number of ways that their quantified inland flood magnitude produces a very good representation of the number of inland flood claims experienced.Abstract:
In recent years, the United States has been severely affected by numerous tropical cyclones (TCs) which have caused massive damages. While media attention mainly focuses on coastal losses from storm surge, these TCs have inflicted significant devastation inland as well. Yet, little is known about the relationship between TC-related inland flooding and economic losses. Here we introduce a novel methodology that first successfully characterizes the spatial extent of inland flooding, and then quantifies its relationship with flood insurance claims. Hurricane Ivan in 2004 is used as illustration. We empirically demonstrate in a number of ways that our quantified inland flood magnitude produces a very good representation of the number of inland flood insurance claims experienced. These results highlight the new technological capabilities that can lead to a better risk assessment of inland TC flood. This new capacity will be of tremendous value to a number of public and private sector stakeholders dealing with disaster preparedness.read more
Citations
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Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Rainfall at the Global Scale
TL;DR: The authors quantifies the contribution of tropical cyclones (TCs) to annual, seasonal, and extreme rainfall and examines the connection between El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the occurrence of extreme TC-induced rainfall across the globe.
Journal ArticleDOI
North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and U.S. Flooding
TL;DR: In this article, the authors provided a climatological view of inland flooding associated with TCs, leveraging the wealth of discharge measurements collected, archived, and disseminated by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS).
Journal ArticleDOI
Sensitivity of tropical cyclone rainfall to idealized global-scale forcings
Gabriele Villarini,David A. Lavers,Enrico Scoccimarro,Ming Zhao,Michael Wehner,Gabriel A. Vecchi,Thomas R. Knutson,Kevin A. Reed +7 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a set of idealized high-resolution atmospheric model experiments produced as part of the U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) Hurricane Working Group activity is used to examine TC response to idealized global-scale perturbations: the doubling of CO2, uniform 2-K increases in global sea surface temperature (SST), and their combined impact.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Impact of Tropical Cyclones on Extreme Precipitation over Coastal and Inland Areas of China and Its Association to ENSO
TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated EPEs resulting from Western North Pacific (WNP) Tropical Cyclones (TCs) and their potential link to El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), using TC track data, daily precipitation data from 2313 stations for 1951-2014, and NCAR/NCEP reanalysis dataset.
Journal ArticleDOI
Long term changes in flooding and heavy rainfall associated with North Atlantic tropical cyclones: Roles of the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the contribution of North Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) to flooding and heavy rainfall across the continental United States using long-term stream and rain gage measurements, and their analyses are based on annual maxima (AMs) and peaks-over-threshold (POTs).
References
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Book
Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables Using Stata
J. Scott Long,Jeremy Freese +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a brief tutorial for estimating, testing, fit, and interpretation of ordinal and binary outcomes using Stata. But they do not discuss how to apply these models to other estimation commands, such as post-estimation analysis.
Book
Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables Using Stata, Second Edition
J. Scott Long,Jeremy Freese +1 more
TL;DR: This book discusses models for ordinal and nominal independent variables, and describes the development of models for Nominal Outcomes with Case-Specific Data and its use in Stata.
Journal ArticleDOI
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Thomas R. Knutson,John L. McBride,Johnny C. L. Chan,Kerry Emanuel,Greg J. Holland,Christopher W. Landsea,Isaac M. Held,James P. Kossin,Ashok K. Srivastava,Masato Sugi +9 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the characteristics of tropical cyclones have changed or will change in a warming climate and if so, how, has been the subject of considerable investigation, often with conflicting results.
Journal ArticleDOI
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Kevin Walsh,John L. McBride,Philip J. Klotzbach,Sethurathinam Balachandran,Suzana J. Camargo,Greg J. Holland,Thomas R. Knutson,James P. Kossin,Tsz-cheung Lee,Adam H. Sobel,Masato Sugi +10 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a theoretical basis for maximum TC intensity appears now to be well established, but a climate theory of TC formation remains elusive Climate models mostly continue to predict future decreases in global TC numbers, projected increases in the intensities of the strongest storms and increased rainfall rates Sea level rise will likely contribute toward increased storm surge risk.