Journal ArticleDOI
Global trends in tropical cyclone risk
Pascal Peduzzi,Pascal Peduzzi,Bruno Chatenoux,Bruno Chatenoux,Hy Dao,Hy Dao,A. De Bono,A. De Bono,Christian Herold,Christian Herold,James P. Kossin,Frédéric Mouton,O. Nordbeck +12 more
TLDR
This article showed that, despite projected reductions in tropical cyclone frequency, projected increases in demographic pressure and tropical cyclones intensity can be expected to exacerbate disaster risk, even with reported losses.Abstract:
Assessments of tropical cyclone risk trends are typically based on reported losses, which are biased by improvements in information access. Now research based on thousands of physically observed events and contextual factors shows that, despite projected reductions in tropical cyclone frequency, projected increases in demographic pressure and tropical cyclone intensity can be expected to exacerbate disaster risk.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Future flood losses in major coastal cities
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide a quantification of present and future flood losses in the 136 largest coastal cities, using a new database of urban protection and different assumptions on adaptation, and account for existing and future flooding defences.
Journal ArticleDOI
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Kevin Walsh,John L. McBride,Philip J. Klotzbach,Sethurathinam Balachandran,Suzana J. Camargo,Greg J. Holland,Thomas R. Knutson,James P. Kossin,Tsz-cheung Lee,Adam H. Sobel,Masato Sugi +10 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a theoretical basis for maximum TC intensity appears now to be well established, but a climate theory of TC formation remains elusive Climate models mostly continue to predict future decreases in global TC numbers, projected increases in the intensities of the strongest storms and increased rainfall rates Sea level rise will likely contribute toward increased storm surge risk.
Journal ArticleDOI
Future climate risk from compound events
Jakob Zscheischler,Seth Westra,Bart van den Hurk,Bart van den Hurk,Sonia I. Seneviratne,Philip J. Ward,Andrew J. Pitman,Amir AghaKouchak,David N. Bresch,David N. Bresch,Michael Leonard,Thomas Wahl,Xuebin Zhang +12 more
TL;DR: In this article, a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers.
Journal ArticleDOI
Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz,Shinjiro Kanae,Sonia I. Seneviratne,John Handmer,Neville Nicholls,Pascal Peduzzi,Reinhard Mechler,Laurens M. Bouwer,Nigel W. Arnell,Katherine J Mach,Robert Muir-Wood,R. Brakenridge,Wolfgang Kron,Gerardo Benito,Yasushi Honda,Kiyoshi Takahashi,Boris Sherstyukov +16 more
TL;DR: In this article, a holistic perspective on changing rainfall-driven flood risk is provided for the late 20th and early 21st centuries, which includes an assessment of changes in flood risk in seven of the regions considered in the recent IPCC SREX report.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Thomas R. Knutson,John L. McBride,Johnny C. L. Chan,Kerry Emanuel,Greg J. Holland,Christopher W. Landsea,Isaac M. Held,James P. Kossin,Ashok K. Srivastava,Masato Sugi +9 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the characteristics of tropical cyclones have changed or will change in a warming climate and if so, how, has been the subject of considerable investigation, often with conflicting results.
Journal ArticleDOI
The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS)Unifying Tropical Cyclone Data
TL;DR: The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) project as discussed by the authors collects the historical tropical cyclone best-track data from all available Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers (RSMCs) and other agencies, combine the disparate datasets into one product, and disseminate in formats used by the tropicalcyclone community.
Journal ArticleDOI
An Analytic Model of the Wind and Pressure Profiles in Hurricanes
TL;DR: In this paper, an analytic model of the radial profiles of sea level pressure and winds in a hurricane is presented, which is shown to be generally superior to two other widely used models and is considered to be a valuable aid in operational forecasting and case studies.
Journal ArticleDOI
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Kevin Walsh,John L. McBride,Philip J. Klotzbach,Sethurathinam Balachandran,Suzana J. Camargo,Greg J. Holland,Thomas R. Knutson,James P. Kossin,Tsz-cheung Lee,Adam H. Sobel,Masato Sugi +10 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a theoretical basis for maximum TC intensity appears now to be well established, but a climate theory of TC formation remains elusive Climate models mostly continue to predict future decreases in global TC numbers, projected increases in the intensities of the strongest storms and increased rainfall rates Sea level rise will likely contribute toward increased storm surge risk.
Journal ArticleDOI
The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones
TL;DR: The results are qualitatively consistent with the hypothesis that as the seas warm, the ocean has more energy to convert to tropical cyclone wind.