Journal ArticleDOI
In one word: Not from experience.
TLDR
The authors argue that the expectation that people will improve their judgments with experience is mistaken and founded on an incorrect conception of the nature of experience, which leads to a far more pessimistic view about people's ability to learn from experience, a view that is in closer correspondence with the facts from studies on clinical judgement.About:
This article is published in Acta Psychologica.The article was published on 1980-08-01. It has received 492 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Inference & Causality.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
The myopia of learning
TL;DR: The imperfections of learning are not so great as to require abandoning attempts to improve the learning capabilities of organizations, but that those imperfections suggest a certain conservatism in expectations.
Myopia of learning
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examine the ways organizations approach these problems through simplification and specialization and how those approaches contribute to three forms of learning myopia, the tendency to overlook distant times, distant places, and failures, and identify some ways in which organizations sustain exploration in the face of a tendency to overinvest in exploitation.
MonographDOI
Learning by expanding: An activity-theoretical approach to developmental research
TL;DR: This chapter discusses the emergence of learning activity as a historical form of human learning and the zone of proximal development as the basic category of expansive research.
Journal ArticleDOI
The effects of feedback interventions on performance: A historical review, a meta-analysis, and a preliminary feedback intervention theory.
TL;DR: In this article, KlUGER and Denisi analyzed all the major reasons to reject a paper from the meta-analysis, even though the decision to exclude a paper came at the first identification of a missing inclusion criterion.
Journal ArticleDOI
Social Cognitive Theory of Organizational Management
Robert E. Wood,Albert Bandura +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyze organizational functioning from the perspective of social cognitive theory, which explains psychosocial functioning in terms of triadic reciprocal causation, and apply it in a series of experiments of complex managerial decision-making.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
On the psychology of prediction
Daniel Kahneman,Amos Tversky +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors explore the rules that determine intuitive predictions and judgments of confidence and contrast these rules to the normative principles of statistical prediction and show that people do not appear to follow the calculus of chance or the statistical theory of prediction.
Book
Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge
TL;DR: A collection of classic essays written throughout Popper's illustrious career, expounding and defending his 'fallibilist' theory of knowledge and scientific discovery.
Journal ArticleDOI
Conjectures and Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge.
T. W. Hutchison,Karl Popper +1 more
Book
A study of thinking
TL;DR: A Study of Thinking as discussed by the authors is a pioneering account of how human beings achieve a measure of rationality in spite of the constraints imposed by bias, limited attention and memory, and the risks of error imposed by pressures of time and ignorance.