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Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach

Sendhil Mullainathan, +1 more
- 01 May 2017 - 
- Vol. 31, Iss: 2, pp 87-106
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TLDR
This work presents a way of thinking about machine learning that gives it its own place in the econometric toolbox, and aims to make them conceptually easier to use by providing a crisper understanding of how these algorithms work, where they excel, and where they can stumble.
Abstract
Machines are increasingly doing “intelligent” things. Face recognition algorithms use a large dataset of photos labeled as having a face or not to estimate a function that predicts the pre...

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Book ChapterDOI

Introduction to Rare-Event Predictive Modeling for Inferential Statisticians—A Hands-On Application in the Prediction of Breakthrough Patents

TL;DR: In this paper , a machine learning approach to quantitative analysis geared towards optimizing the predictive performance is introduced, contrasting it with standard practices inferential statistics which focus on producing good parameter estimates.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Building Actionable Personas Using Machine Learning Techniques

TL;DR: In this article , a novel distance function for K-means clustering has been developed, which can handle a mixture of feature types and to allow the importance of each feature to be varied, using a linearly weighted distance method.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Novel Framework for Quality Crop Predictions Using Data Mining and Soft Computing Techniques

TL;DR: In this paper , an approach of smart crop predictions is presented through Data Mining and Soft Computing (DM&SC) in the field of agricultural quality crop prediction, a five-level framework is proposed namely 1) Collection of data from different repositories, 2) Pre-processing of data, 3) Appropriate Classifier Selection, 4) Prediction and Estimation 5) Draw AUC & ROC curve.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction

TL;DR: The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction as discussed by the authors is a popular book for data mining and machine learning, focusing on data mining, inference, and prediction.
Journal ArticleDOI

Problems with Instrumental Variables Estimation when the Correlation between the Instruments and the Endogenous Explanatory Variable is Weak

TL;DR: In this article, the use of instruments that explain little of the variation in the endogenous explanatory variables can lead to large inconsistencies in the IV estimates even if only a weak relationship exists between the instruments and the error in the structural equation.
Journal Article

On Model Selection Consistency of Lasso

TL;DR: It is proved that a single condition, which is called the Irrepresentable Condition, is almost necessary and sufficient for Lasso to select the true model both in the classical fixed p setting and in the large p setting as the sample size n gets large.
Journal ArticleDOI

Clinical versus actuarial judgment

TL;DR: Research comparing these two approaches to decision-making shows the actuarial method to be superior, factors underlying the greater accuracy of actuarial methods, sources of resistance to the scientific findings, and the benefits of increased reliance on actuarial approaches are discussed.
Book

A Distribution-Free Theory of Nonparametric Regression

TL;DR: How to Construct Nonparametric Regression Estimates * Lower Bounds * Partitioning Estimates * Kernel Estimates * k-NN Estimates * Splitting the Sample * Cross Validation * Uniform Laws of Large Numbers