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Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach

Sendhil Mullainathan, +1 more
- 01 May 2017 - 
- Vol. 31, Iss: 2, pp 87-106
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TLDR
This work presents a way of thinking about machine learning that gives it its own place in the econometric toolbox, and aims to make them conceptually easier to use by providing a crisper understanding of how these algorithms work, where they excel, and where they can stumble.
Abstract
Machines are increasingly doing “intelligent” things. Face recognition algorithms use a large dataset of photos labeled as having a face or not to estimate a function that predicts the pre...

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Posted Content

Better Lee Bounds

Vira Semenova
- 28 Aug 2020 - 
TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that the unconditional monotonicity assumption that motivates traditional Lee bounds fails for the JobCorps training program and propose a weaker assumption that only needs to hold conditional on covariates.
Journal ArticleDOI

International agricultural trade forecasting using machine learning

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors employed data-driven analytics to decipher patterns of trade, namely using supervised machine learning (ML), as well as neural networks, for seven major agricultural commodities with a long history of trade.
Posted Content

Econom\'etrie et Machine Learning

TL;DR: It becomes necessary for econometricians to understand what these two cultures are, what opposes them and especially what brings them closer together, in order to appropriate tools developed by the statistical learning community to integrate them into Econometric models.
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How Words Matter: Machine Learning & Movie Success

TL;DR: The results revealed the possible influence of gender bias in movies that favoured male-centric themes, as well as negative effects for holiday comedies, paranormal movies, and crime films.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction

TL;DR: The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction as discussed by the authors is a popular book for data mining and machine learning, focusing on data mining, inference, and prediction.
Journal ArticleDOI

Problems with Instrumental Variables Estimation when the Correlation between the Instruments and the Endogenous Explanatory Variable is Weak

TL;DR: In this article, the use of instruments that explain little of the variation in the endogenous explanatory variables can lead to large inconsistencies in the IV estimates even if only a weak relationship exists between the instruments and the error in the structural equation.
Journal Article

On Model Selection Consistency of Lasso

TL;DR: It is proved that a single condition, which is called the Irrepresentable Condition, is almost necessary and sufficient for Lasso to select the true model both in the classical fixed p setting and in the large p setting as the sample size n gets large.
Journal ArticleDOI

Clinical versus actuarial judgment

TL;DR: Research comparing these two approaches to decision-making shows the actuarial method to be superior, factors underlying the greater accuracy of actuarial methods, sources of resistance to the scientific findings, and the benefits of increased reliance on actuarial approaches are discussed.
Book

A Distribution-Free Theory of Nonparametric Regression

TL;DR: How to Construct Nonparametric Regression Estimates * Lower Bounds * Partitioning Estimates * Kernel Estimates * k-NN Estimates * Splitting the Sample * Cross Validation * Uniform Laws of Large Numbers