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Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach

Sendhil Mullainathan, +1 more
- 01 May 2017 - 
- Vol. 31, Iss: 2, pp 87-106
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TLDR
This work presents a way of thinking about machine learning that gives it its own place in the econometric toolbox, and aims to make them conceptually easier to use by providing a crisper understanding of how these algorithms work, where they excel, and where they can stumble.
Abstract
Machines are increasingly doing “intelligent” things. Face recognition algorithms use a large dataset of photos labeled as having a face or not to estimate a function that predicts the pre...

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Radiation Pattern Prediction for Metasurfaces: A Neural Network-Based Approach

TL;DR: In this article, a neural network-based approach is proposed to enable a fast and accurate characterization of the metasurface response to reflected wave radiation with an accuracy of 98.8-99.8%.
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Natural quantum reservoir computing for temporal information processing

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Machine Labor

TL;DR: In this paper , the utility of machine learning for regression-based causal inference is illustrated by using lasso to select control variables for estimates of college characteristics' wage effects, which is a path to data-driven sensitivity analysis.
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Fintech for the Poor: Financial Intermediation Without Discrimination

TL;DR: In this paper, a machine learning algorithm was used to improve the efficiency in lending without compromising on equity in a credit environment where soft information dominates, and the efficiency was maintained even when the algorithm is explicitly prevented from discriminating against disadvantaged social classes.
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Optimizing User Engagement through Adaptive Ad Sequencing

TL;DR: A unified dynamic framework for adaptive ad sequencing that optimizes user engagement in the session, e.g., the number of clicks or length of stay is proposed and it is demonstrated that adaptive forward-looking ad sequencing is most effective when users are new to the platform.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction

TL;DR: The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction as discussed by the authors is a popular book for data mining and machine learning, focusing on data mining, inference, and prediction.
Journal ArticleDOI

Problems with Instrumental Variables Estimation when the Correlation between the Instruments and the Endogenous Explanatory Variable is Weak

TL;DR: In this article, the use of instruments that explain little of the variation in the endogenous explanatory variables can lead to large inconsistencies in the IV estimates even if only a weak relationship exists between the instruments and the error in the structural equation.
Journal Article

On Model Selection Consistency of Lasso

TL;DR: It is proved that a single condition, which is called the Irrepresentable Condition, is almost necessary and sufficient for Lasso to select the true model both in the classical fixed p setting and in the large p setting as the sample size n gets large.
Journal ArticleDOI

Clinical versus actuarial judgment

TL;DR: Research comparing these two approaches to decision-making shows the actuarial method to be superior, factors underlying the greater accuracy of actuarial methods, sources of resistance to the scientific findings, and the benefits of increased reliance on actuarial approaches are discussed.
Book

A Distribution-Free Theory of Nonparametric Regression

TL;DR: How to Construct Nonparametric Regression Estimates * Lower Bounds * Partitioning Estimates * Kernel Estimates * k-NN Estimates * Splitting the Sample * Cross Validation * Uniform Laws of Large Numbers