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Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach

Sendhil Mullainathan, +1 more
- 01 May 2017 - 
- Vol. 31, Iss: 2, pp 87-106
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TLDR
This work presents a way of thinking about machine learning that gives it its own place in the econometric toolbox, and aims to make them conceptually easier to use by providing a crisper understanding of how these algorithms work, where they excel, and where they can stumble.
Abstract
Machines are increasingly doing “intelligent” things. Face recognition algorithms use a large dataset of photos labeled as having a face or not to estimate a function that predicts the pre...

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Using Machine Learning to Target Treatment: The Case of Household Energy Use

TL;DR: In this article, causal forests are used to evaluate the heterogeneous treatment effects of repeated behavioral nudges towards household energy conservation, and the average response is a monthly electricity reduction of 9 kilowatt-hours (kWh), but the full distribution of responses ranges from -30 to + 10 kWh.
Journal ArticleDOI

Bias From Potentially Mischievous Responders on Large-Scale Estimates of Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, or Questioning (LGBQ)-Heterosexual Youth Health Disparities.

TL;DR: Using screener items in public health data sets and performing rigorous sensitivity analyses can support the validity of youth health estimates, particularly among boys, but bullying and suicidal ideation were unaffected.
Journal ArticleDOI

A comprehensive review on medical diagnosis using machine learning

TL;DR: A comprehensive review of research articles published from the year 2015 to mid of the year 2020 that have used machine learning for diagnosis of various diseases to show the distribution of machine learning methods by medical disciplines.
Journal ArticleDOI

Who performs better? AVMs vs hedonic models

TL;DR: This is the first systematic review that collects all the articles produced on the subject done comparing the results obtained and concludes that machine learning models are more accurate than traditional regression analysis in their ability to predict value.
Journal ArticleDOI

In-Text Patent Citations: A User’s Guide

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors introduce, validate, and make publicly available a new data source for innovation research: scientific references in patent specifications, which are common and algorithmically extractable.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction

TL;DR: The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction as discussed by the authors is a popular book for data mining and machine learning, focusing on data mining, inference, and prediction.
Journal ArticleDOI

Problems with Instrumental Variables Estimation when the Correlation between the Instruments and the Endogenous Explanatory Variable is Weak

TL;DR: In this article, the use of instruments that explain little of the variation in the endogenous explanatory variables can lead to large inconsistencies in the IV estimates even if only a weak relationship exists between the instruments and the error in the structural equation.
Journal Article

On Model Selection Consistency of Lasso

TL;DR: It is proved that a single condition, which is called the Irrepresentable Condition, is almost necessary and sufficient for Lasso to select the true model both in the classical fixed p setting and in the large p setting as the sample size n gets large.
Journal ArticleDOI

Clinical versus actuarial judgment

TL;DR: Research comparing these two approaches to decision-making shows the actuarial method to be superior, factors underlying the greater accuracy of actuarial methods, sources of resistance to the scientific findings, and the benefits of increased reliance on actuarial approaches are discussed.
Book

A Distribution-Free Theory of Nonparametric Regression

TL;DR: How to Construct Nonparametric Regression Estimates * Lower Bounds * Partitioning Estimates * Kernel Estimates * k-NN Estimates * Splitting the Sample * Cross Validation * Uniform Laws of Large Numbers