Journal ArticleDOI
Population growth and economic development in the very long run: a simulation model of three revolutions☆
Gunter Steinmann,John Komlos +1 more
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An economic model capable of simulating the 4 main historical stages of civilization: hunting, agricultural, industrial, and postindustrial is proposed, able to capture the salient features of economic development in the very long run.About:
This article is published in Mathematical Social Sciences.The article was published on 1988-08-01. It has received 21 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Population & Malthusianism.read more
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A Trap At The Escape From The Trap? Demographic-Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modern Africa and West Asia
Andrey Korotayev,Julia Zinkina,Svetlana Kobzeva,Justislav Bozhevolnov,Daria Khaltourina,Artemy Malkov,Sergey Malkov +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed a mathematical model of the demographic structural mechanisms that generate political upheavals in African and West Asian countries in 2012-2050 and presented the forecast of political instability in these countries based on this model.
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A model on the escape from the Malthusian trap
TL;DR: The model predicts that positive population growth is sufficient to escape the Malthusian trap and the build up of technology is positively related to the stock of human capital.
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East Africa in the Malthusian Trap
Andrey Korotayev,Julia Zinkina +1 more
TL;DR: The authors showed that the main countries of East Africa (Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania) have not escaped the Malthusian trap yet, and these countries are not likely to follow the "North African path" and are likely to encounter serious social problems before they achieve success in making a transition in their fertility rates.
A Trap at the Escape from the Trap? Some Demographic Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modernizing Social Systems
TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed a mathematical model of the demographic structural mechanisms that generate political instability in Sub-Saharan African countries in 2015-2040 and presented the forecast of political instability based on this model.
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The impact of scarcity and plenty on development
TL;DR: The relationship among population growth technological change and nutritional conditions in historical populations and in the developing countries today is examined in this article, where the author notes that even in societies experiencing a beneficial upward spiral in population and income growth severe food crises will occur among certain population groups.
Journal Article
Population growth through history and the escape from the Malthusian trap: a homeostatic simulation model.
Marc Artzrouni,John Komlos +1 more
TL;DR: A Malthusian simulation model is proposed to describe the growth of human population from the Neolithic through the Industrial Revolution, suggesting the slow accumulation of capital eventually enables the population to overcome the constraints of the hostile economic environment.
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The economic implications of learning-by-doing for population size and growth.
Julian L. Simon,Gunter Steinmann +1 more
TL;DR: This paper criticizes Arrow's research on learning-by-doing, using a model like Arrow's to conclude that population growth--and, even more important, population size--may have positive effects on economic growth throughpositive effects on the rate of technical progress, on reasonable assumptions about the likely capital-output ratios with different demographic structures, but negative effects with other capital- output ratio difference.