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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

Redevelopment of the Predict: Breast Cancer website and recommendations for developing interfaces to support decision-making

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TLDR
In this paper, the authors developed a new interface for the widely used prognostic breast cancer tool: Predict: Breast Cancer, to facilitate decision-making around post-surgery breast cancer treatments and derive recommendations for communicating the outputs of prognostic models to patients and their clinicians.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To develop a new interface for the widely used prognostic breast cancer tool: Predict: Breast Cancer. To facilitate decision-making around post-surgery breast cancer treatments. To derive recommendations for communicating the outputs of prognostic models to patients and their clinicians. METHOD We employed a user-centred design process comprised of background research and iterative testing of prototypes with clinicians and patients. Methods included surveys, focus groups and usability testing. RESULTS The updated interface now caters to the needs of a wider audience through the addition of new visualisations, instantaneous updating of results, enhanced explanatory information and the addition of new predictors and outputs. A programme of future research was identified and is now underway, including the provision of quantitative data on the adverse effects of adjuvant breast cancer treatments. Based on our user-centred design process, we identify six recommendations for communicating the outputs of prognostic models including the need to contextualise statistics, identify and address gaps in knowledge, and the critical importance of engaging with prospective users when designing communications. CONCLUSIONS For prognostic algorithms to fulfil their potential to assist with decision-making they need carefully designed interfaces. User-centred design puts patients and clinicians needs at the forefront, allowing them to derive the maximum benefit from prognostic models.

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Evaluation of Prognostic and Predictive Models in the Oncology Clinic

TL;DR: In this article , a high-level process diagram for the life cycle of a clinical model, encompassing model commissioning, clinical implementation and ongoing quality assurance, is proposed to bridge the gap between model development and clinical implementation.
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myBeST—A Web-Based Survival Prognostic Tool for Women with Breast Cancer in Malaysia: Development Process and Preliminary Validation Study

TL;DR: In this article , the authors developed a new prognostic model for women with breast cancer in Malaysia and designed the user interface and developed the contents of a web-based prognostic tool for the care provider to convey survival estimates.
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Co-Creation of Breast Cancer Risk Communication Tools and an Assessment of Risk Factor Awareness: A Qualitative Study of Patients and the Public in India

TL;DR: In this article , the authors developed easy-to-follow transmedia prototypes to communicate BC risk and evaluate user preferences, alongside exploring awareness of BC and its risk factors, and found that most participants preferred pictographic representations (frequency format) of lifetime risk and risk factors and storytelling using short animations and comic strips (infographics) for communicating genetic risk and testing.
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Multinomial classification to predict the most effective adjuvant combination therapies for breast cancer patients

TL;DR: In this article , a supervised multinomial logistic regression model for predicting the best adjuvant therapy for breast cancer patients to lower the probability of metastatic recurrence was presented.
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A Machine Learning Algorithm for Predicting 6-Week Survival in Spinal Metastasis

TL;DR: In this article , the Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine learning algorithm (SORG-MLA) was proposed to predict 6-week survival in patients with spinal metastasis.
References
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Global cancer statistics 2018: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries

TL;DR: A status report on the global burden of cancer worldwide using the GLOBOCAN 2018 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer, with a focus on geographic variability across 20 world regions.
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Whatever happened to qualitative description

TL;DR: The general view of descriptive research as a lower level form of inquiry has influenced researchers conducting qualitative research to claim methods they are really not using and not to claim the method they are using: namely, qualitative description.
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Helping Doctors and Patients Make Sense of Health Statistics

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors discuss the importance of teaching statistical thinking and transparent representations in primary and secondary education as well as in medical school, and recommend using frequency statements instead of single-event probabilities, absolute risks instead of relative risks, mortality rates instead of survival rates, and natural frequencies instead of conditional probabilities.
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Prognosis and prognostic research: application and impact of prognostic models in clinical practice

TL;DR: An accurate prognostic model is of no benefit if it is not generalisable or doesn’t change behaviour.
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