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Solving DSGE models with a nonlinear moving average

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In this paper, the authors propose a nonlinear infinite moving average as an alternative to the standard state space policy function for solving nonlinear DSGE models and derive the third order approximation explicitly, examine the accuracy of the method using Euler equation tests and compare with state space approximations.
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This article is published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.The article was published on 2013-12-01 and is currently open access. It has received 42 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Moving average & Linear approximation.

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The pruned state-space system for non-linear dsge models: theory and empirical applications

TL;DR: In this paper, the stability of the pruned approximation up to third order was investigated and closed-form expressions for Orst and second unconditional moments and impulse response functions were provided for higher-order perturbation approximations to DSGE models.
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Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity in the euro area by using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector.
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Assessing DSGE Model Nonlinearities

TL;DR: The authors developed a new class of nonlinear time-series models to identify nonlinearities in the data and to evaluate nonlinear DSGE models, which is able to match the nonlinear inflation and wage dynamics, thanks to the estimated downward wage/price rigidities.
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Existence and Uniqueness of Perturbation Solutions to DSGE Models

TL;DR: In this paper, the existence of unique solutions for all undetermined coefficients of nonlinear perturbations of arbitrary order in a wide class of discrete time-invariant DSGE models under standard regularity and saddle stability assumptions for linear approximation.
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Fifth-Order Perturbation Solution to DSGE Models

TL;DR: The paper develops a new notation that is simpler than the standard notation of Schmitt-Grohe and Uribe (2004), which yields a fifth-order perturbation solution to DSGE models and develops a compact matrix notation for high order chain rules.
References
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Time Series Analysis.

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Time series analysis

James D. Hamilton
- 01 Feb 1997 - 
TL;DR: A ordered sequence of events or observations having a time component is called as a time series, and some good examples are daily opening and closing stock prices, daily humidity, temperature, pressure, annual gross domestic product of a country and so on.
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Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements

John F. Muth
- 01 Jul 1961 - 
TL;DR: In this article, the Stockholm School hypothesis is used to explain how expectations are formed in the context of an isolated market with a fixed production lag, and commodity speculation is introduced into the system.
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Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a unified approach to impulse response analysis which can be used for both linear and nonlinear multivariate models and demonstrate the use of these measures for a nonlinear bivariate model of US output and the unemployment rate.
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Numerical methods in economics

TL;DR: In this article, the authors present techniques from the numerical analysis and applied mathematics literatures and show how to use them in economic analyses, including linear equations, iterative methods, optimization, nonlinear equations, approximation methods, numerical integration and differentiation, and Monte Carlo methods.
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Q1. What are the contributions in "Solving dsge models with a nonlinear moving average" ?

In this paper, the authors propose a nonlinear infinite moving average policy function, which chooses as its state variable basis the infinite history of past shocks. 

As σ goes from 0 to 1 and the authors transition from the certain to uncertain model, the rest point of the solution transitions from the nonstochastic steady state y to the second-order approximation of the stochastic steady state y+ 12yσ2σ 

They use the matrix derivative structure and the associated chain rule of Magnus and Neudecker (2007, ch. 6) to unfold a three dimensional cube of second partial derivatives. 

From Judd (1992), the idea of the Euler equation accuracy test in the neoclassical growth model is to find a unit-free measure that expresses the one-period optimization error in relation to current consumption. 

The unique stable solution of the forgoing, analogously to lower orders, takes the formyk, j,i = αyk−1, j−1,i−1 +β3Sk, j,i, with yk, j,i = 0, for k, j, i < 0(40) and β3 can be solved for by, again, formulating an appropriate Sylvester equation. 

Although there are a number of DSGE models and applications, i.e., welfare analysis, asset pricing and stochastic volatility for which the importance of nonlinear components and uncertainty in the policy function has been proved, the nonlinear components the authors analyzed in the baseline neoclassical growth model are quantitatively unimportant, this is not surprising as the model is known to be nearly linear. 

Accordingly for higher-order derivatives, the order in which derivatives with respect to σ appear is inconsequential as it is a scalar and the authors choose to have the σ’s appear first. 

The known function u of the exogenous variable is rewritten similarlyut = u(σ,εt,εt−1, . . .) = ∞∑ i=0 Niεt−i(5)For notational ease in derivation, the authors will define vector xt , containing the complete set of variablesxt ≡ [ y′t−1 y ′ t y ′ t+1 u ′ t ]′ (6) xt is of dimension (nx×1) with (nx = 3ny+ne). 

Figure 5 highlights a central component of higher-order impulse responses: the break down of superposition or history dependence of the transfer function. 

The second order approximations show an improvement as the horizon increases, whereas the third order approximations tend to be lower at first, rise and then fall again. 

Applying the techniques developed in Lan and Meyer-Gohde (2011), the existence and uniqueness16Thus, their nonlinear moving average solution parallels nonlinear state space solutions in a manner analogous to the linear case, where the recursion is in the coefficients as opposed to the variables themselves. 

The shapes of the kernels perpendicular to the diagonal have direct analogs in polynomials: on either side of the diagonal of figures 3a and 3b, the shape is reminiscent of the parabola of a quadratic26equation and the ‘s’ shape of the cubic equation can be found on either side of the diagonal of figure 4. 

The potential for explosive behavior in the simulation of state-space perturbations has lead to31the adaptation of ‘pruning’ algorithms, see Kim, Kim, Schaumburg, and Sims (2008), that appear ad-hoc relative to the perturbation solution itself.