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The econometrics of financial markets

TLDR
In this paper, Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay present an attempt by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the empirical finance literature, a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance.
Abstract
This book is an ambitious effort by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the literature—a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance. As the authors note in the preface, there are several excellent books covering financial theory at a level suitable for a Ph.D. class or as a reference for academics and practitioners, but there is little or nothing similar that covers econometric methods and applications. Perhaps the closest existing text is the recent addition to the Wiley Series in Financial and Quantitative Analysis. written by Cuthbertson (1996). The major difference between the books is that Cuthbertson focuses exclusively on asset pricing in the stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets, whereas Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay (henceforth CLM) consider empirical applications throughout the field of finance, including corporate finance, derivatives markets, and market microstructure. The level of anticipation preceding publication can be partly measured by the fact that at least three reviews (including this one) have appeared since the book arrived. Moreover, in their reviews, both Harvey (1998) and Tiso (1998) comment on the need for such a text, a sentiment that has been echoed by numerous finance academics.

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Journal ArticleDOI

Term structure views of monetary policy under alternative models of agent expectations

TL;DR: This article showed that small differences in the perceived policy reaction function in VAR models of agent expectations strongly influence the relevance in the transmission mechanism of the expected short rate component of bond yields.
Posted Content

Do Credit Rating Agencies Add to the Dynamics of Emerging Market Crises

TL;DR: In this article, the role of credit rating agencies in international financial markets, particularly whether sovereign credit ratings have an impact on the financial stability in emerging market economies, was analyzed and panel regression results indicated that credit rating agents have substantial influence on the size and volatility of emerging markets lending.
Journal ArticleDOI

The economic effects of violent conflict: Evidence from asset market reactions

TL;DR: In this article, the effects of conflict onset on asset markets applying the event study methodology were investigated and the results suggest that, on average, national stock markets are more likely to display positive than negative reactions to conflict onset.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case-Control Study for the Basque Country

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated the economic effects of conflict, using the terrorist conflict in the Basque Country as a case study, and they found that after the outbreak of terrorism, per capita GDP decline about 10 percent points relative to the synthetic control region, and this gap seemed to widen in response to spikes in terrorist activity.
Book ChapterDOI

Catastrophic Events, Parameter Uncertainty and the Breakdown of Implicit Long-Term Contracting: The Case of Terrorism Insurance

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the reaction of the stock prices of U.S. property-casualty insurers to the World Trade Center (WTC) terrorist attack of September 11, 2001.
References
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An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this article, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed to estimate the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
Book

An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this paper, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed, which allows the explicit calculation of the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
Journal ArticleDOI

An ordered probit analysis of transaction stock prices

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors estimate the conditional distribution of trade-to-trade price changes using ordered probit, a statistical model for discrete random variables, recognizing that transaction price changes occur in discrete increments, typically eighths of a dollar, and occur at irregularly-spaced time intervals.
Book

Quantitative Financial Economics: Stocks, Bonds and Foreign Exchange

TL;DR: This new edition of the hugely successful Quantitative Financial Economics has been revised and updated to reflect the most recent theoretical and econometric/empirical advances in the financial markets as discussed by the authors.
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Implementing option pricing models when asset returns are predictable

TL;DR: In this article, the authors propose a class of continuous-time linear diffusion processes for asset prices that can capture a wider variety of predictability, and provide several numerical examples that illustrate their importance for pricing options and other derivative assets.
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