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The econometrics of financial markets

TLDR
In this paper, Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay present an attempt by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the empirical finance literature, a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance.
Abstract
This book is an ambitious effort by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the literature—a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance. As the authors note in the preface, there are several excellent books covering financial theory at a level suitable for a Ph.D. class or as a reference for academics and practitioners, but there is little or nothing similar that covers econometric methods and applications. Perhaps the closest existing text is the recent addition to the Wiley Series in Financial and Quantitative Analysis. written by Cuthbertson (1996). The major difference between the books is that Cuthbertson focuses exclusively on asset pricing in the stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets, whereas Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay (henceforth CLM) consider empirical applications throughout the field of finance, including corporate finance, derivatives markets, and market microstructure. The level of anticipation preceding publication can be partly measured by the fact that at least three reviews (including this one) have appeared since the book arrived. Moreover, in their reviews, both Harvey (1998) and Tiso (1998) comment on the need for such a text, a sentiment that has been echoed by numerous finance academics.

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History As Reflected In Capital Markets: The Case of World War II

TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed the change in the values of national government bonds issued in Swiss Francs and traded on the Swiss bourse during the period 1933 to 1946, taking into account the time span between Hitler's rise to power (with his appointment as chancellor of the Reich on 30 January 1933) and the redevelopment of Europe after the war.
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Stock Selection, Style Rotation, and Risk

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show that the impact of firm-specific characteristics like size and book-to-price on future excess stock returns varies considerably over time and investigate whether the partial predictability signals security mispricing or risk compensation.
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Regulating the united states railroads: the effects of sunk costs and asymmetric risk

TL;DR: In this article, the authors estimate how large the mistakes can be by applying a real options approach that takes into account the effect of sunk costs, irreversible investment, and asymmetric returns.
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Stock market efficiency in China: Evidence from the split-share reform☆

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigate the efficiency of the Chinese stock market and find evidence of positive abnormal returns in the few days before announcement of which companies will undergo the reform process, that can be explained by information leakage and not by a compensation risk premium, and in the ten days after the readmission to trading of participating companies following the determination of the compensation.
Journal ArticleDOI

Stock return predictability and the dispersion in earnings forecasts

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show that the dispersion in forecasts has particularly strong predictive power for future aggregate stock returns at intermediate horizons, regardless of whether Newey-West or Hodrick corrected t-statistics are used.
References
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