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The econometrics of financial markets

TLDR
In this paper, Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay present an attempt by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the empirical finance literature, a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance.
Abstract
This book is an ambitious effort by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the literature—a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance. As the authors note in the preface, there are several excellent books covering financial theory at a level suitable for a Ph.D. class or as a reference for academics and practitioners, but there is little or nothing similar that covers econometric methods and applications. Perhaps the closest existing text is the recent addition to the Wiley Series in Financial and Quantitative Analysis. written by Cuthbertson (1996). The major difference between the books is that Cuthbertson focuses exclusively on asset pricing in the stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets, whereas Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay (henceforth CLM) consider empirical applications throughout the field of finance, including corporate finance, derivatives markets, and market microstructure. The level of anticipation preceding publication can be partly measured by the fact that at least three reviews (including this one) have appeared since the book arrived. Moreover, in their reviews, both Harvey (1998) and Tiso (1998) comment on the need for such a text, a sentiment that has been echoed by numerous finance academics.

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Book ChapterDOI

Modeling Price and Yield Risk

TL;DR: A wide array of risks that influence agricultural producers' production and marketing decisions can be found in this article, including the random nature of prices (for both inputs and outputs) and yields for both animal and plant production.
Posted Content

Arrogance can be a Virtue: Overconfidence, Information Acquisition, and Market Efficiency

TL;DR: This article studied the impact of overconfidence on mispricing and information acquisition, comparing their net effect on prices and found that overconfidence generally improves market pricing provided the level of overconfidence is not too high.
Journal ArticleDOI

Real risk, inflation risk, and the term structure

TL;DR: The authors developed and estimated a general equilibrium model for the term structures of nominal and real interest rates in the UK that incorporates Markov-switching, and used the model to assess how accurately the term structure reflects changing expectations of future yields and inflation.
Journal ArticleDOI

The econometrics of mean-variance efficiency tests: A survey

TL;DR: A comprehensive survey of the econometrics of mean-variance efficiency tests can be found in this article, where the authors analyse the effects of the number of assets and portfolio composition on test power.
Journal ArticleDOI

Comparing linear and nonlinear forecasts for stock returns

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors compare the out-of-sample performance of monthly returns forecasts for two indices, namely the Dow Jones (DJ) and the Financial Times (FT) indices, using a linear and a nonlinear artificial neural network (ANN) model.
References
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An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this article, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed to estimate the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
Book

An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this paper, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed, which allows the explicit calculation of the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
Journal ArticleDOI

An ordered probit analysis of transaction stock prices

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors estimate the conditional distribution of trade-to-trade price changes using ordered probit, a statistical model for discrete random variables, recognizing that transaction price changes occur in discrete increments, typically eighths of a dollar, and occur at irregularly-spaced time intervals.
Book

Quantitative Financial Economics: Stocks, Bonds and Foreign Exchange

TL;DR: This new edition of the hugely successful Quantitative Financial Economics has been revised and updated to reflect the most recent theoretical and econometric/empirical advances in the financial markets as discussed by the authors.
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Implementing option pricing models when asset returns are predictable

TL;DR: In this article, the authors propose a class of continuous-time linear diffusion processes for asset prices that can capture a wider variety of predictability, and provide several numerical examples that illustrate their importance for pricing options and other derivative assets.
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