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The econometrics of financial markets

TLDR
In this paper, Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay present an attempt by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the empirical finance literature, a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance.
Abstract
This book is an ambitious effort by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the literature—a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance. As the authors note in the preface, there are several excellent books covering financial theory at a level suitable for a Ph.D. class or as a reference for academics and practitioners, but there is little or nothing similar that covers econometric methods and applications. Perhaps the closest existing text is the recent addition to the Wiley Series in Financial and Quantitative Analysis. written by Cuthbertson (1996). The major difference between the books is that Cuthbertson focuses exclusively on asset pricing in the stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets, whereas Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay (henceforth CLM) consider empirical applications throughout the field of finance, including corporate finance, derivatives markets, and market microstructure. The level of anticipation preceding publication can be partly measured by the fact that at least three reviews (including this one) have appeared since the book arrived. Moreover, in their reviews, both Harvey (1998) and Tiso (1998) comment on the need for such a text, a sentiment that has been echoed by numerous finance academics.

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Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective

TL;DR: In this article, a new approach to modeling conditional credit loss distributions is presented, where asset value changes of firms in a credit portfolio are linked to a dynamic global macroeconometric model, allowing macroeffects to be isolated from idiosyncratic shocks from the perspective of default.
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Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading

TL;DR: In this paper, a multivariate realised kernel is proposed to estimate the ex-post covariation of log-prices, which is guaranteed to be positive semi-definite and robust to measurement noise of certain types.
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Reconciling Conflicting Evidence on the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution

TL;DR: In this article, the authors reconcile two opposing views about the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS), a parameter that plays a key role in macroeconomic analysis, and find that limited participation creates substantial wealth inequality matching that in U.S. data.
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The outsourcing of R&D through acquisitions in the pharmaceutical industry †

TL;DR: In this article, the authors examine the performance of 160 pharmaceutical acquisitions from 1994 to 2001 and find evidence that on average acquirers realize significant positive returns, positively correlated with prior acquirer access to information about the research and development activities at target firms and a superior negotiating position.
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The Long Memory of the Efficient Market

TL;DR: For the London Stock Exchange, the autocorrelation function decays roughly as a power law with an exponent of 0.6, corresponding to a Hurst exponent H = 0.7 as discussed by the authors.
References
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An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this article, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed to estimate the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
Book

An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this paper, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed, which allows the explicit calculation of the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
Journal ArticleDOI

An ordered probit analysis of transaction stock prices

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors estimate the conditional distribution of trade-to-trade price changes using ordered probit, a statistical model for discrete random variables, recognizing that transaction price changes occur in discrete increments, typically eighths of a dollar, and occur at irregularly-spaced time intervals.
Book

Quantitative Financial Economics: Stocks, Bonds and Foreign Exchange

TL;DR: This new edition of the hugely successful Quantitative Financial Economics has been revised and updated to reflect the most recent theoretical and econometric/empirical advances in the financial markets as discussed by the authors.
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Implementing option pricing models when asset returns are predictable

TL;DR: In this article, the authors propose a class of continuous-time linear diffusion processes for asset prices that can capture a wider variety of predictability, and provide several numerical examples that illustrate their importance for pricing options and other derivative assets.
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