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The econometrics of financial markets

TLDR
In this paper, Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay present an attempt by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the empirical finance literature, a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance.
Abstract
This book is an ambitious effort by three well-known and well-respected scholars to fill an acknowledged void in the literature—a text covering the burgeoning field of empirical finance. As the authors note in the preface, there are several excellent books covering financial theory at a level suitable for a Ph.D. class or as a reference for academics and practitioners, but there is little or nothing similar that covers econometric methods and applications. Perhaps the closest existing text is the recent addition to the Wiley Series in Financial and Quantitative Analysis. written by Cuthbertson (1996). The major difference between the books is that Cuthbertson focuses exclusively on asset pricing in the stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets, whereas Campbell, Lo, and MacKinlay (henceforth CLM) consider empirical applications throughout the field of finance, including corporate finance, derivatives markets, and market microstructure. The level of anticipation preceding publication can be partly measured by the fact that at least three reviews (including this one) have appeared since the book arrived. Moreover, in their reviews, both Harvey (1998) and Tiso (1998) comment on the need for such a text, a sentiment that has been echoed by numerous finance academics.

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Tests of the Market's Reaction to Federal Funds Rate Target Changes

TL;DR: In this article, the authors test several hypotheses about the market's reactions to changes in the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate target and find that short-term rates and longterm rates responded differently to the target changes when target changes were accompanied by a change in the discount rate.
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Do Short Sellers Front-Run Insider Sales?

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examine the behavior of short sellers as informed market participants and examine potential sources of their information, finding evidence of significant increases in short sales immediately prior to large insider sales, but not prior to small insider sales.
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The Home Court Advantage in International Corporate Litigation

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors used a comprehensive sample of 2,361 public U.S. corporate defendants and 715 public foreign corporate defendants to study the reaction of the market to the announcement of a federal lawsuit in the United States.
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Informed Options Trading prior to M&A Announcements: Insider Trading?

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate informed trading activity in equity options prior to the announcement of corporate mergers and acquisitions (M&A), focusing on the target rms, and show that the probability of informed trading in options during the period just prior to a deal announcement date is much higher than one would expect prior to any randomly chosen date.
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Imitation and contrarian behaviour: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos

TL;DR: In this article, the authors introduce a simple model to investigate the interplay of contrarian and imitative behaviour in a stock market where agents can take only two states, bullish or bearish, and show that in the limit where the number of agents is infinite, the dynamics of the fraction of bullish agents is deterministic and exhibits chaotic behaviour in the parameter space.
References
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An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this article, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed to estimate the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
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An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading

TL;DR: In this paper, a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring is developed, which allows the explicit calculation of the effects of infrequent trading on the time series properties of asset returns.
Journal ArticleDOI

An ordered probit analysis of transaction stock prices

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors estimate the conditional distribution of trade-to-trade price changes using ordered probit, a statistical model for discrete random variables, recognizing that transaction price changes occur in discrete increments, typically eighths of a dollar, and occur at irregularly-spaced time intervals.
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Quantitative Financial Economics: Stocks, Bonds and Foreign Exchange

TL;DR: This new edition of the hugely successful Quantitative Financial Economics has been revised and updated to reflect the most recent theoretical and econometric/empirical advances in the financial markets as discussed by the authors.
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Implementing option pricing models when asset returns are predictable

TL;DR: In this article, the authors propose a class of continuous-time linear diffusion processes for asset prices that can capture a wider variety of predictability, and provide several numerical examples that illustrate their importance for pricing options and other derivative assets.
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