Journal ArticleDOI
The J‐ and S‐curves: a survey of the recent literature
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TLDR
In this article, the authors reviewed the literature on the J and S curves and proposed a method to test the validity of the J• and S-curves empirically, and showed that currency depreciation worsens the trade balance before improving it.Abstract:
Purpose – Since the introduction of the concepts of the J‐ and S‐curves, many researchers have tried to verify their validity empirically. This paper aims to review the related papers and to offer direction for future research.Design/methodology/approach – This is a review paper. As such, no method is employed here. Rather, the methodologies used by others to test the J‐ and S‐curves are explained and reviewed.Findings – No new findings are offered since this is a review paper.Practical implications – The J‐ and S‐curves show whether currency depreciation worsens the trade balance first before improving it. Since the majority of studies are country‐specific, policymakers could benefit by learning whether currency depreciation will be effective in improving the trade balance.Originality/value – This is a literature review paper and its originality is in terms of collecting the literature together and presenting it in one single paper.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Nonlinear ARDL Approach and the J-Curve Phenomenon
TL;DR: Shin et al. as discussed by the authors used non-linear adjustment of variables as well as asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the trade balance, using bilateral trade balance models of the U.S. with each of her six largest trading partners.
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Nonlinear ARDL approach, asymmetric effects and the J-curve
TL;DR: In this article, the effects of currency depreciation on the trade balance were investigated and it was shown that the effect of currency depreciation on trade balance is asymmetric and not linear in a linear fashion.
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The J-Curve phenomenon in European transition economies: A nonlinear ARDL approach
TL;DR: The authors examined the J-curve phenomenon for 16 European transition economies and found that the lack of support could be due to the linearity assumption of the NARDL model and used the linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model in any case.
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Empirical tests of the Marshall‐Lerner condition: a literature review
TL;DR: The authors survey the literature that has tested the M•L condition, examining in particular whether previous studies' results are statistically significant, and conduct their own estimation of 29 countries' trade elasticities, over the past few decades.
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The balance of trade and exchange rates: Theory and contemporary evidence from tourism
TL;DR: In this paper, the effects of exchange rate depreciations and appreciations on the tourism trade balance were investigated using linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration techniques.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing
TL;DR: The relationship between co-integration and error correction models, first suggested in Granger (1981), is here extended and used to develop estimation procedures, tests, and empirical examples.
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Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed a new approach to the problem of testing the existence of a level relationship between a dependent variable and a set of regressors, when it is not known with certainty whether the underlying regressors are trend- or first-difference stationary.
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Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration — with applications to the demand for money
Søren Johansen,Katarina Juselius +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the estimation and testing of long-run relations in economic modeling are addressed, starting with a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the hypothesis of cointegration is formulated as a hypothesis of reduced rank of the long run impact matrix.
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Macroeconomics and reality
TL;DR: In this article, the authors argue that the style in which their builders construct claims for a connection between these models and reality is inappropriate, to the point at which claims for identification in these models cannot be taken seriously.