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TL;DR: Simulation models of vaccine trials that account for heterogeneity in dengue virus transmission and vaccine trial protocols can be used to anticipate the extent of bias in field trials and to aid in their interpretation.

TL;DR: Predictions from eight independent modelling groups on the long-term safety, public health impact, and cost-effectiveness of routine vaccination with Dengvaxia in a range of transmission settings, as characterised by seroprevalence levels among 9-y-olds (SP9).

TL;DR: This analysis demonstrates that real-time, publicly available ensemble forecasts issued in April-July 2020 provided robust short-term predictions of reported COVID-19 deaths in the United States, highlighting the importance of combining multiple probabilistic models and assessing forecast skill at different prediction horizons.

TL;DR: An optimal control analysis of a mathematical model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission found that a major factor that differentiates strategies that prioritize lives saved versus reduced time under control is how quickly control is relaxed once social distancing restrictions expire in May 2020.

TL;DR: In this paper , the authors compared the probabilistic accuracy of short-term forecasts of reported deaths due to COVID-19 during the first year and a half of the pandemic in the United States.