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Estee Y Cramer
Researcher at University of Massachusetts Amherst
Publications - 18
Citations - 414
Estee Y Cramer is an academic researcher from University of Massachusetts Amherst. The author has contributed to research in topics: Medicine & Computer science. The author has an hindex of 4, co-authored 11 publications receiving 141 citations. Previous affiliations of Estee Y Cramer include Case Western Reserve University.
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Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S.
Evan L. Ray,Nutcha Wattanachit,Jarad Niemi,Abdul H Kanji,Katie House,Estee Y Cramer,Johannes Bracher,Andrew Zheng,Teresa K. Yamana,Xinyue Xiong,Spencer Woody,Yuanjia Wang,Lily Wang,Robert Walraven,Vishal Tomar,Katherine Sherratt,Daniel Sheldon,Robert C. Reiner,B. Aditya Prakash,Dave Osthus,Michael Lingzhi Li,Elizabeth C. Lee,Ugur Koyluoglu,Pinar Keskinocak,Youyang Gu,Quanquan Gu,Glover E George,Guido España,Sabrina M Corsetti,Jagpreet Chhatwal,Sean M. Cavany,Hannah Biegel,Michal Ben-Nun,Jo W Walker,Rachel B. Slayton,Velma K. Lopez,Matthew Biggerstaff,Michael A. Johansson,Nicholas G. Reich +38 more
TL;DR: This analysis demonstrates that real-time, publicly available ensemble forecasts issued in April-July 2020 provided robust short-term predictions of reported COVID-19 deaths in the United States, highlighting the importance of combining multiple probabilistic models and assessing forecast skill at different prediction horizons.
Journal ArticleDOI
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
Estee Y Cramer,Evan L. Ray,Velma K. Lopez,Johannes Bracher,Andrea Brennen,A. J. Castro Rivadeneira,Aaron Gerding,Tilmann Gneiting,Katie House,Yuxin David Huang,Dasuni Jayawardena,Abdul H Kanji,A. Khandelwal,K. Le,Anja Mühlemann,Jarad Niemi,Apurv Shah,Ariane Stark,Yijin Wang,Nutcha Wattanachit,Martha Zorn,Youyang Gu,Sansiddh Jain,Nayana Bannur,Ayush Deva,Mihir Sanjay Kulkarni,Srujana Merugu,Alpan Raval,S. Shingi,Avtansh Tiwari,Jerome White,Neil F. Abernethy,Spencer Woody,Maytal Dahan,Spencer J. Fox,Kelly Gaither,Michael Lachmann,Lauren Ancel Meyers,James Scott,Mauricio Tec,A. Srivastava,Glover E George,Jeffrey C. Cegan,Ian D. Dettwiller,William England,Matthew W. Farthing,Robert H. Hunter,Brandon J. Lafferty,Igor Linkov,Michael Ma,Matthew Parno,Michael A. Rowland,Benjamin D. Trump,Yanli Zhang-James,Samuel Chen,Stephen V. Faraone,Jonathan L. Hess,Christopher P. Morley,Asif Salekin,Dongliang Wang,Sabrina Corsetti,Thomas M. Baer,Marisa C. Eisenberg,Karl Falb,Yitao Huang,Emily T. Martin,Elizabeth McCauley,Robert L. Myers,Tomá{hacek over } Schwarz,Daniel Sheldon,Graham Casey Gibson,Rose Yu,Liyao Gao,Yian Ma,Dongxia Wu,Xifeng Yan,Xiaolong Jin,Yu-Xiang Wang,YangQuan Chen,Lihong Guo,Yanting Zhao,Quanquan Gu,Jinghui Chen,Lingxiao Wang,Pan Xu,Weitong Zhang,Difan Zou,Hannah Biegel,Joceline Lega,Steve McConnell,V. Peter Nagraj,Stephanie L. Guertin,Chris Hulme-Lowe,Stephen D. Turner,Yunfeng Shi,Xuegang Ban,Robert L. Walraven,Qi Hong,Stanley Kong,A Van de Walle,James Turtle,M. Ben-Nun,Steven Riley,Pete Riley,Ugur Koyluoglu,David DesRoches,Pedro Forli,Bruce H. Hamory,Christina Kyriakides,Helen Leis,John Milliken,Michael Moloney,James N. Morgan,Ninad Nirgudkar,Gokce Ozcan,Noah Piwonka,Matt Ravi,Christine A. Schrader,Elizabeth A. Shakhnovich,Daniel K. Siegel,Ryan Spatz,Chris Stiefeling,Barrie Wilkinson,Alexander Wong,Sean M. Cavany,Guido España,Sean M. Moore,Rachel J. Oidtman,Alex Perkins,David P. Kraus,Andrea Kraus,Zhifeng Gao,Jiang Bian,Wei Cao,Juan Lavista Ferres,Chaofeng Li,Tie-Yan Liu,Xing Xie,Shun Zhang,Shun Zheng,Alessandro Vespignani,Matteo Chinazzi,Jessica T. Davis,Kunpeng Mu,Ana Pastore y Piontti,Xinyue Xiong,Andrew Zheng,Jackie Baek,Vivek F. Farias,Andreea Georgescu,Retsef Levi,Deeksha Sinha,Joshua K. Wilde,Georgia Perakis,M. Amine Bennouna,David Nze-Ndong,Divya Singhvi,Ioannis Spantidakis,Leann Thayaparan,Asterios Tsiourvas,Arnab Sarker,Ali Jadbabaie,Devavrat Shah,Nicolás Della Penna,Leo Anthony Celi,Saketh Sundar,Russell D. Wolfinger,Dave Osthus,Lauren Castro,Geoffrey Fairchild,Isaac Michaud,D. Karlen,Matthew Kinsey,Luke C. Mullany,Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett,Lauren Shin,Katharine Christina Tallaksen,Shelby Wilson,Elizabeth C. Lee,Juan Dent,Kyra H. Grantz,Alison L. Hill,Joshua Kaminsky,Kathryn Kaminsky,Lindsay T Keegan,Stephen A. Lauer,Joseph C. Lemaitre,Justin Lessler,Hannah R. Meredith,Javier Perez-Saez,Samarth Kaushik Kumar Shah,Claire Smith,Shaun A. Truelove,Josh Wills,Maximilian Marshall,Lauren Gardner,Kristen Nixon,John C. Burant,Lily Wang,Lei Gao,Zhi Wen Gu,Myung-Jin Kim,Xinyi Li,Guannan Wang,Yueying Wang,Shanshan Yu,Robert C. Reiner,Ryan M Barber,Emmanuela Gakidou,Simon I. Hay,Steve Lim,Christopher J L Murray,David M. Pigott,H. Gurung,Prasith Baccam,Steven A. Stage,Brad Suchoski,B. Aditya Prakash,Bijaya Adhikari,Jiaming Cui,Alexander Rodríguez,Anika Tabassum,Jiajia Xie,Pinar Keskinocak,John Asplund,Arden Baxter,Buse Eylul Oruc,Nicoleta Serban,Sercan O. Arik,Michael W. Dusenberry,Arkady Epshteyn,Elli Kanal,Long T. Le,Chun Liang Li,Tomas Pfister,Dario Sava,Rajarishi Sinha,Thomas C. Tsai,Nate Yoder,Jinsung Yoon,Leyou Zhang,Sam Abbott,Nikos I Bosse,Sebastian Funk,Joel Hellewell,Sophie Meakin,Katharine Sherratt,Mingyuan Zhou,Rahi Kalantari,Teresa K. Yamana,Sen Pei,Jeffrey Shaman,Michael Lingzhi Li,Dimitris Bertsimas,Omar Skali Lami,Saksham Soni,Hamza Tazi Bouardi,Turgay Ayer,Madeline Adee,Jagpreet Chhatwal,Ozden O. Dalgic,Mary Ann Ladd,Benjamin P. Linas,Peter P. Mueller,J. Xiao,Yuanjia Wang,Qinxia Wang,Shanghong Xie,Donglin Zeng,Alden Green,Jacob Bien,Logan C. Brooks,Addison J Hu,Maria Jahja,Daniel J. Mcdonald,Balasubramanian Narasimhan,Collin A Politsch,Samyak Rajanala,Aaron Rumack,Noah Simon,Ryan J. Tibshirani,Robert Tibshirani,Valérie Ventura,Larry Wasserman,Eamon B. O'Dea,John M. Drake,Robert R. Pagano,Quoc Trung Tran,Lam Si Tung Ho,Huong Lan Huynh,Joseph Warren Walker,Rachel B. Slayton,Michael A. Johansson,Matthew Biggerstaff,Nicholas G. Reich +294 more
TL;DR: In this paper , the authors compared the probabilistic accuracy of short-term forecasts of reported deaths due to COVID-19 during the first year and a half of the pandemic in the United States.
Posted ContentDOI
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US
Estee Y Cramer,Evan L. Ray,Velma K. Lopez,Johannes Bracher,Andrea Brennen,Alvaro J Castro Rivadeneira,Aaron Gerding,Tilmann Gneiting,Katie House,Yuxin Huang,Dasuni Jayawardena,Abdul H Kanji,Ayush Khandelwal,Khoa Le,Anja Mühlemann,Jarad Niemi,Apurv Shah,Ariane Stark,Yijin Wang,Nutcha Wattanachit,Martha Zorn,Youyang Gu,Sansiddh Jain,Nayana Bannur,Ayush Deva,Mihir Kulkarni,Srujana Merugu,Alpan Raval,Siddhant Shingi,Avtansh Tiwari,Jerome White,Spencer Woody,Maytal Dahan,Spencer J. Fox,Kelly Gaither,Michael Lachmann,Lauren Ancel Meyers,James G. Scott,Mauricio Tec,Ajitesh Srivastava,Glover E George,Jeffrey C. Cegan,Ian D. Dettwiller,William England,Matthew W. Farthing,Robert H Hunter,Brandon J. Lafferty,Igor Linkov,Michael L. Mayo,Matthew Parno,Michael A. Rowland,Benjamin D. Trump,Yanli Zhang-James,Samuel Chen,Stephen V. Faraone,Jonathan L. Hess,Christopher P. Morley,Asif Salekin,Dongliang Wang,Sabrina M Corsetti,Thomas M Baer,Marisa C. Eisenberg,Karl Falb,Yitao Huang,Emily T. Martin,Ella McCauley,Robert L Myers,T. A. Schwarz,Daniel Sheldon,Graham Casey Gibson,Rose Yu,Rose Yu,Liyao Gao,Yi-An Ma,Dongxia Wu,Xifeng Yan,Xiaoyong Jin,Yu-Xiang Wang,YangQuan Chen,Lihong Guo,Yanting Zhao,Quanquan Gu,Jinghui Chen,Lingxiao Wang,Pan Xu,Weitong Zhang,Difan Zou,Hannah Biegel,Joceline Lega,Steve McConnell,VP Nagraj,Stephanie L Guertin,Christopher Hulme-Lowe,Stephen D Turner,Yunfeng Shi,Xuegang Ban,Robert Walraven,Qi-Jun Hong,Qi-Jun Hong,Axel van de Walle,Stanley Kong,James Turtle,Michal Ben-Nun,Pete Riley,Steven Riley,Ugur Koyluoglu,David DesRoches,Pedro Forli,Bruce H. Hamory,Christina Kyriakides,Helen Leis,John Milliken,Michael Moloney,James Morgan,Ninad Nirgudkar,Gokce Ozcan,Noah Piwonka,Matt Ravi,Chris Schrader,Elizabeth Shakhnovich,Daniel Siegel,Ryan Spatz,Chris Stiefeling,Barrie Wilkinson,Alexander Wong,Sean M. Cavany,Guido España,Sean M. Moore,Rachel J. Oidtman,Rachel J. Oidtman,Alex Perkins,Zhifeng Gao,Jiang Bian,Wei Cao,Juan Lavista Ferres,Chaozhuo Li,Tie-Yan Liu,Xing Xie,Shun Zhang,Shun Zheng,Alessandro Vespignani,Matteo Chinazzi,Jessica T. Davis,Kunpeng Mu,Ana Pastore y Piontti,Xinyue Xiong,Andrew Zheng,Jackie Baek,Vivek F. Farias,Andreea Georgescu,Retsef Levi,Deeksha Sinha,Joshua Wilde,Arnab Sarker,Ali Jadbabaie,Devavrat Shah,Nicolás Della Penna,Leo Anthony Celi,Saketh Sundar,Russell D. Wolfinger,Dave Osthus,Lauren Castro,Geoffrey Fairchild,Isaac Michaud,D. Karlen,D. Karlen,Matt Kinsey,Katharine Tallaksen,Shelby Wilson,Lauren Shin,Luke C. Mullany,Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett,Elizabeth C. Lee,Juan Dent,Kyra H. Grantz,Joshua Kaminsky,Kathryn Kaminsky,Lindsay T Keegan,Stephen A. Lauer,Joseph C. Lemaitre,Justin Lessler,Hannah R. Meredith,Javier Perez-Saez,Sam Shah,Claire P. Smith,Shaun A. Truelove,Josh Wills,Maximilian Marshall,Lauren Gardner,Kristen Nixon,John C. Burant,Lily Wang,Lei Gao,Zhiling Gu,Myungjin Kim,Xinyi Li,Guannan Wang,Yueying Wang,Shan Yu,Robert C. Reiner,Ryan M Barber,Emmanuela Gaikedu,Simon I. Hay,Steve C. Lim,Christopher J L Murray,David M. Pigott,Heidi L Gurung,Prasith Baccam,Steven A Stage,Bradley T Suchoski,B. Aditya Prakash,Bijaya Adhikari,Jiaming Cui,Alexander Rodríguez,Anika Tabassum,Jiajia Xie,Pinar Keskinocak,John Asplund,Arden Baxter,Buse Eylul Oruc,Nicoleta Serban,Sercan O. Arik,Michael W. Dusenberry,Arkady Epshteyn,Elli Kanal,Long T. Le,Chun-Liang Li,Tomas Pfister,Dario Sava,Rajarishi Sinha,Thomas C. Tsai,Nate Yoder,Jinsung Yoon,Leyou Zhang,Sam Abbott,Nikos I Bosse,Sebastian Funk,Sophie Meakin,Katharine Sherratt,Mingyuan Zhou,Rahi Kalantari,Teresa K. Yamana,Sen Pei,Jeffrey Shaman,Michael Lingzhi Li,Dimitris Bertsimas,Omar Skali Lami,Saksham Soni,Hamza Tazi Bouardi,Turgay Ayer,Madeline Adee,Jagpreet Chhatwal,Ozden O. Dalgic,Mary Ann Ladd,Benjamin P. Linas,Peter R. Mueller,Jade Xiao,Yuanjia Wang,Qinxia Wang,Shanghong Xie,Donglin Zeng,Alden Green,Jacob Bien,Logan C. Brooks,Daniel J. McDonald,Addison J Hu,Maria Jahja,Balasubramanian Narasimhan,Collin A Politsch,Samyak Rajanala,Aaron Rumack,Noah Simon,Ryan J. Tibshirani,Robert Tibshirani,Valérie Ventura,Larry Wasserman,Eamon B. O'Dea,John M. Drake,Robert Pagano,Neil F. Abernethy,Jo W Walker,Rachel B. Slayton,Michael A. Johansson,Matthew Biggerstaff,Nicholas G. Reich +284 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors systematically evaluated 23 models that regularly submitted forecasts of reported weekly incident COVID-19 mortality counts in the US at the state and national level at the CDC.
Posted ContentDOI
The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset
Estee Y Cramer,Yuxin Huang,Yijin Wang,Evan L. Ray,Matthew Cornell,Johannes Bracher,Johannes Bracher,Andrea Brennen,Alvaro J Castro Rivadeneira,Aaron Gerding,Katie House,Dasuni Jayawardena,Abdul H Kanji,Ayush Khandelwal,Khoa Le,Jarad Niemi,Ariane Stark,Apurv Shah,Nutcha Wattanachit,Martha Zorn,Nicholas G. Reich +20 more
TL;DR: The US COVID-19 Forecast Hub as mentioned in this paper is a dataset with point and probabilistic forecasts of incident hospitalizations, incident cases, incident deaths, and cumulative deaths due to COVID19 at national, state, and county levels.
Journal ArticleDOI
Plasmodium falciparum Parasitemia and Band Sensitivity of the SD Bioline Malaria Ag P.f/Pan Rapid Diagnostic Test in Madagascar.
Rajeev K. Mehlotra,Rosalind E. Howes,Rosalind E. Howes,Estee Y Cramer,Riley E. Tedrow,Tovonahary Angelo Rakotomanga,Stéphanie Ramboarina,Stéphanie Ramboarina,Arsène Ratsimbasoa,Peter A. Zimmerman +9 more
TL;DR: Patients seeking care for suspected malaria infection were analyzed by RDT, microscopy, and Plasmodium species-specific, ligase detection reaction-fluorescent microsphere assay (LDR-FMA), finding that a positive pLDH band in high P. falciparum-parasitemic individuals may complicate diagnosis and treatment.