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Paul J Birrell
Researcher at Public Health England
Publications - 51
Citations - 1352
Paul J Birrell is an academic researcher from Public Health England. The author has contributed to research in topics: Population & Medicine. The author has an hindex of 14, co-authored 35 publications receiving 840 citations. Previous affiliations of Paul J Birrell include Medical Research Council & University of Cambridge.
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Journal ArticleDOI
Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London
Paul J Birrell,Georgios Ketsetzis,Ben S. Cooper,Anne M. Presanis,RJ Harris,Andre Charlett,Xu-Sheng Zhang,Peter J White,Richard Pebody,Daniela De Angelis +9 more
TL;DR: This work embeds an age-structured model into a Bayesian synthesis of multiple evidence sources to reveal substantial changes in contact patterns and health-seeking behavior throughout the 2009 influenza A/H1N1pdm pandemic, uncovering two similar infection waves, despite large differences in the reported levels of disease.
Journal ArticleDOI
Community prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in England from April to November, 2020: results from the ONS Coronavirus Infection Survey.
Koen B. Pouwels,Koen B. Pouwels,Thomas House,Thomas House,Emma Pritchard,Emma Pritchard,Julie V. Robotham,Paul J Birrell,Paul J Birrell,Andrew Gelman,Vihta K-D.,Vihta K-D.,N Bowers,I Boreham,H Thomas,J Lewis,I Bell,John Bell,John N Newton,Jeremy Farrar,Ian Diamond,Pete Benton,Anne-Sophie Walker +22 more
TL;DR: Age (young adults, particularly those aged 17–24 years) was an important initial driver of increased positivity rates in the second wave, and a substantial proportion of infections were in individuals not reporting symptoms around their positive test, indicating that continued monitoring for SARS-CoV-2 in the community will be important for managing the COVID-19 pandemic moving forwards.
Journal ArticleDOI
HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001–10: a nationwide population study
Paul J Birrell,O Noel Gill,Valerie Delpech,Alison Brown,Sarika Desai,Tim Chadborn,Brian Rice,Daniela De Angelis,Daniela De Angelis +8 more
TL;DR: Improved frequency and targeting of HIV testing, as well as the introduction of ART at higher CD4 counts than is currently recommended, could begin a decline in HIV transmission among MSM in England and Wales.
Journal ArticleDOI
Antibody responses and correlates of protection in the general population after two doses of the ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccines
Jia-mei Wei,Koen B. Pouwels,Nicole Stoesser,Philippa C Matthews,Ian Diamond,Ruth Studley,Emma Rourke,D. Cook,John I. Bell,John N Newton,Jeremy Farrar,Alison Howarth,Brian D. Marsden,Sarah Hoosdally,E Y Jones,David I. Stuart,Derrick W. Crook,Tim E. A. Peto,A. Sarah Walker,David W Eyre,Tina Thomas,Daniel Ayoubkhani,Russell C. Black,Anton Felton,M.J. Crees,Joel Jones,L. Lloyd,Esther Sutherland,Emma Pritchard,Karina-Doris Vihta,George Doherty,James Kavanagh,Kevin K Chau,Stephanie B Hatch,Daniel Ebner,Lucas Martins Ferreira,Thomas Christott,Wanwisa Dejnirattisai,Juthathip Mongkolsapaya,Sarah Cameron,Phoebe Tamblin-Hopper,Magda Wolna,Rachael Brown,Richard J. Cornall,Gavin R. Screaton,Katrina A. Lythgoe,David Bonsall,Tanya Golubchik,Helen R. Fryer,Stuart Cox,K Paddon,Tim James,Thomas M. Boyd Jason R. House,Julie V. Robotham,Paul J Birrell,H. Jordan,Tim Sheppard,Graham Athey,Daniel S. Moody,Leigh Curry,P. J. Brereton,Ian Jarvis,Anna Godsmark,George Morris,Bobby Mallick,Phil Eeles,Jodie Hay,Harper C VanSteenhouse,Jessica Lee,Sean A. White,Tim S. Evans,Lisa Bloemberg,Katie Allison,Anouska Pandya,Sophie Frances Davis,David I. Conway,Margaret MacLeod,Chris Cunningham +77 more
TL;DR: In this article , the authors investigated anti-spike IgG antibody responses and correlates of protection after second doses of ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccines for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).
Journal ArticleDOI
Changes in severity of 2009 pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in England: a Bayesian evidence synthesis
Anne M. Presanis,Richard Pebody,Beverley J. Paterson,Brian D. M. Tom,Paul J Birrell,Andre Charlett,Marc Lipsitch,Daniela De Angelis +7 more
TL;DR: The impact of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in England during the two waves of activity up to end of February 2010 is assessed by estimating the probabilities of cases leading to severe events and the proportion of the population infected.