Simon Bauer

TL;DR: In this article, the authors examined key aspects that are likely to influence the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe, including progress of national and global vaccination programs, emergence and spread of variants of concern (VOCs), and public responses to non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs).

TL;DR: In this paper, an age-stratified SEIRD-ICU compartmental model and curated epidemiological and vaccination data were used to quantify the rate at which countries can lift non-pharmaceutical interventions without overwhelming their healthcare systems.

TL;DR: This work analytically derives the existence of a third, viable solution: a stable equilibrium at low case numbers, where test-trace-and-isolate policies partially compensate for local spreading events, and only moderate contact restrictions remain necessary, and minimises lockdown duration and hence economic impact.

TL;DR: The authors analytically derived the existence of a third viable solution: a stable equilibrium at low case numbers, where test-trace-and-isolate policies partially compensate for local spreading events, and only moderate restrictions remain necessary.