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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

A Measure of Asymptotic Efficiency for Tests of a Hypothesis Based on the sum of Observations

Herman Chernoff
- 01 Dec 1952 - 
- Vol. 23, Iss: 4, pp 493-507
TLDR
In this paper, it was shown that the likelihood ratio test for fixed sample size can be reduced to this form, and that for large samples, a sample of size $n$ with the first test will give about the same probabilities of error as a sample with the second test.
Abstract
In many cases an optimum or computationally convenient test of a simple hypothesis $H_0$ against a simple alternative $H_1$ may be given in the following form. Reject $H_0$ if $S_n = \sum^n_{j=1} X_j \leqq k,$ where $X_1, X_2, \cdots, X_n$ are $n$ independent observations of a chance variable $X$ whose distribution depends on the true hypothesis and where $k$ is some appropriate number. In particular the likelihood ratio test for fixed sample size can be reduced to this form. It is shown that with each test of the above form there is associated an index $\rho$. If $\rho_1$ and $\rho_2$ are the indices corresponding to two alternative tests $e = \log \rho_1/\log \rho_2$ measures the relative efficiency of these tests in the following sense. For large samples, a sample of size $n$ with the first test will give about the same probabilities of error as a sample of size $en$ with the second test. To obtain the above result, use is made of the fact that $P(S_n \leqq na)$ behaves roughly like $m^n$ where $m$ is the minimum value assumed by the moment generating function of $X - a$. It is shown that if $H_0$ and $H_1$ specify probability distributions of $X$ which are very close to each other, one may approximate $\rho$ by assuming that $X$ is normally distributed.

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Citations
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Convergence rates in the law of large numbers

D. L. Hanson
TL;DR: In this article, it was shown that if the XN'S are identically distributed, and if their common moment generating function is finite in some interval about the origin, then for each e > 0 there exists 0 'e 2p.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Uncertainty Quantification with Statistical Guarantees in End-to-End Autonomous Driving Control

TL;DR: This paper develops a framework based on a state-of-the-art simulator for evaluating end-to-end Bayesian controllers and provides a method for estimating the probability that, given a scenario, the controller keeps the car safe within a finite horizon.
Journal ArticleDOI

The greedy coloring is a bad probabilistic algorithm

TL;DR: It is proved that for each n there is a graph G n such that the chromatic number of G n is at most n e, but the probability that A(G n, p) (1 − ϑ)n log 2 n for a randomly chosen ordering p is O ( n − Δ ).
Journal ArticleDOI

Rigorous verification, validation, uncertainty quantification and certification through concentration-of-measure inequalities

TL;DR: It is shown that concentration-of-measure inequalities rigorously bound probabilities of failure and thus supply conservative certification criteria and supply unambiguous quantitative definitions of terms such as margins, epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties, verification and validation measures, confidence factors, and others, as well as providing clear procedures for computing these quantities.
Journal ArticleDOI

Minimal Positions in a Branching Random Walk

TL;DR: In this paper, a branching random walk on the real line, with mean family size greater than 1, is considered, and it is shown that under appropriate conditions, on the event $S$ the random variable $B_n$ is strongly concentrated and the $o(n)$ error term may be replaced by $O(log n)$.
References
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