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Proceedings ArticleDOI

Dynamic financial forecasting with automatically induced fuzzy associations

Yazann Romahi, +1 more
- Vol. 1, pp 493-498
TLDR
A novel technique for financial forecasting derived from a fuzzy association induction algorithm is presented, allowing the development of an evolving rule based expert system that is continuously taken into account as time progresses and thus the rulebase does not become outdated.
Abstract
The past decade has witnessed significant growth in developing intelligent tools for financial forecasting. Expert systems were quickly shown to be inadequate for the tasks required in financial forecasting due to their static nature. As a result, interest started to move towards soft computing despite the fact that comprehensibility is often of paramount concern in financial forecasting. Merging the domains of fuzzy logic and rule induction paved the way for the emergence of successful generalisation techniques with high comprehensibility. In this paper, we present a novel technique for financial forecasting derived from a fuzzy association induction algorithm, allowing the development of an evolving rule based expert system. In such a way, changing market dynamics are continuously taken into account as time progresses and thus the rulebase does not become outdated. Simulations carried out show promising results for this approach.

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Citations
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A comparative survey of artificial intelligence applications in finance: artificial neural networks, expert system and hybrid intelligent systems

TL;DR: Comparative research review of three famous artificial intelligent techniques in financial market shows that accuracy of these artificial intelligent methods is superior to that of traditional statistical methods in dealing with financial problems, especially regarding nonlinear patterns.
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A fusion model of HMM, ANN and GA for stock market forecasting

TL;DR: A fusion model by combining the Hidden Markov Model (HMM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Genetic Algorithms (GA) to forecast financial market behaviour is proposed and implemented.
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Stock market forecasting using hidden Markov model: a new approach

TL;DR: HMM offers a new paradigm for stock market forecasting, an area that has been of much research interest lately, and is presented for forecasting stock price for interrelated markets.
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A rough-fuzzy approach for generating classification rules

TL;DR: This paper presents an approach that integrates a potentially powerful fuzzy rule induction algorithm with a rough set-assisted feature reduction method, and the integrated rule generation mechanism maintains the underlying semantics of the feature set.
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A hybrid model for stock market forecasting and portfolio selection based on ARX, grey system and RS theories

TL;DR: It is found that the hybrid method not only has a greater forecasting accuracy than the GM(1,1) method, but also yields a greater rate of return on the selected stocks.
References
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Proceedings ArticleDOI

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Journal ArticleDOI

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Proceedings ArticleDOI

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Journal ArticleDOI

Survey and critique of techniques for extracting rules from trained artificial neural networks

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Journal ArticleDOI

How effective are neural networks at forecasting and prediction? A review and evaluation

TL;DR: Evaluating research in this area has been difficult, due to lack of clear criteria, so eleven guidelines that could be used in evaluating this literature are identified and used.
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