Journal ArticleDOI
Getting Ahead in the Communist Party: Explaining the Advancement of Central Committee Members in China
TLDR
Using a new biographical database of Central Committee members, a previously overlooked feature of CCP reporting, and a novel Bayesian method that can estimate individual-level correlates of partially observed ranks, the authors found no evidence that strong growth performance was rewarded with higher party ranks at any of the postreform party congresses.Abstract:
Spectacular economic growth in China suggests the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has somehow gotten it right. A key hypothesis in both economics and political science is that the CCP's cadre evaluation system, combined with China's geography-based governing logic, has motivated local administrators to compete with one another to generate high growth. We raise a number of theoretical and empirical challenges to this claim. Using a new biographical database of Central Committee members, a previously overlooked feature of CCP reporting, and a novel Bayesian method that can estimate individual-level correlates of partially observed ranks, we find no evidence that strong growth performance was rewarded with higher party ranks at any of the postreform party congresses. Instead, factional ties with various top leaders, educational qualifications, and provincial revenue collection played substantial roles in elite ranking, suggesting that promotion systems served the immediate needs of the regime and its leaders, rather than encompassing goals such as economic growth.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Political Incentives to Suppress Negative Information: Evidence from Chinese Listed Firms
TL;DR: This paper examined the stock price behavior of Chinese listed firms around two visible political events (meetings of the National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party and promotions of high-level provincial politicians) that are expected to asymmetrically increase the costs of releasing bad news.
Journal ArticleDOI
Political selection in china : the complementary roles of connections and performance
TL;DR: Li et al. as mentioned in this paper showed that connections and performance are complements in the Chinese political selection process, and that connections foster loyalty of junior officials to senior ones, thereby allowing incumbent top politicians to select competent provincial leaders without risking being ousted.
Journal ArticleDOI
Politicians and the IPO decision: The impact of impending political promotions on IPO activity in China
Joseph D. Piotroski,Tianyu Zhang +1 more
TL;DR: Li et al. as mentioned in this paper show that incentives created by the impending turnover of local politicians can accelerate the pace of initial public offering (IPO) activity in certain politicized environments.
Journal ArticleDOI
'Effortless Perfection:' Do Chinese Cities Manipulate Air Pollution Data?
Dalia Ghanem,Junjie Zhang +1 more
TL;DR: Li et al. as mentioned in this paper employed a discontinuity test to detect the cities that reported dubious pollution data around the cut-off for "blue-sky days" and proposed a panel matching approach to identify the conditions under which irregularities may occur.
Journal ArticleDOI
'Effortless Perfection:' Do Chinese Cities Manipulate Air Pollution Data?
Dalia Ghanem,Junjie Zhang +1 more
TL;DR: Li et al. as mentioned in this paper employed a discontinuity test to detect evidence consistent with data manipulation in self-reported data by Chinese cities and proposed a panel matching approach to identify the conditions under which irregularities may occur.
References
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Bayesian Data Analysis
TL;DR: Detailed notes on Bayesian Computation Basics of Markov Chain Simulation, Regression Models, and Asymptotic Theorems are provided.
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Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy
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Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models
Andrew Gelman,Yu-Sung Su +1 more
TL;DR: Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models is a comprehensive manual for the applied researcher who wants to perform data analysis using linear and nonlinear regression and multilevel models.
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The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation
TL;DR: Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson as discussed by the authors used estimates of potential European settler mortality as an instrument for institutional variation in former European colonies today, and they followed the lead of Curtin who compiled data on the death rates faced by European soldiers in various overseas postings.
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