Journal ArticleDOI
Linking Party Preferences and the Composition of Government: A New Standard for Evaluating the Performance of Electoral Democracy*
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In this paper, the authors propose a new standard for evaluating the performance of electoral democracies: the correspondence between citizens' party preferences and the party composition of governments that are formed after elections.Abstract:
We propose a new standard for evaluating the performance of electoral democracies: the correspondence between citizens’ party preferences and the party composition of governments that are formed after elections. We develop three criteria for assessing such correspondence: the proportion of citizens whose most preferred party is in government, whether the party that is most liked overall is in government, and how much more positively governing parties are rated than non-governing parties. We pay particular attention to the last criterion, which takes into account how each citizen feels about each of the parties as well as the intensity of their preferences. We find that proportional representation systems perform better on the first criterion. Majoritarian systems do better on the other two.read more
Citations
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Political Choice in Britain
TL;DR: Jim Hill voted for the Labour Party in the general election of 1970 as mentioned in this paper. But he did not expect much to change if a Labour government was elected, regardless of which party was in power.
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‘Not my government!’ The role of norms and populist attitudes on voter preferences for government formation after the election:
TL;DR: There also appears to be a concurrent surge in the success of "populist" challengers, who are more likely to win elections as mentioned in this paper, which may explain the delay in coalition government formation.
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Are inequalities in representation lower under compulsory voting
TL;DR: In recent years, there has been considerable scholarly interest in inequalities in representation between rich and poor citizens as mentioned in this paper, and it is worth noting that Lijphart argued that compulsory voting coul...
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A mixed-utility theory of vote choice regret
TL;DR: It is shown that the propensity to regret can be explained by a mixed-utility theory, whereby voters attempt to maximize a mixture of instrumental and expressive utilities.
References
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Book
The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion
TL;DR: Zaller as discussed by the authors developed a comprehensive theory to explain how people acquire political information from elites and the mass media and convert it into political preferences, and applied this theory to the dynamics of public opinion on a broad range of subjects, including domestic and foreign policy, trust in government, racial equality, and presidential approval, as well as voting behaviour in U.S. House, Senate and presidential elections.
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A general approach to causal mediation analysis.
TL;DR: The approach is general because it offers the definition, identification, estimation, and sensitivity analysis of causal mediation effects without reference to any specific statistical model and can accommodate linear and nonlinear relationships, parametric and nonparametric models, continuous and discrete mediators, and various types of outcome variables.
Book
Making Votes Count: Strategic Coordination in the World's Electoral Systems
TL;DR: In this paper, strategic voting in single-member single-ballot systems and multi-merge electoral systems is discussed. But the authors focus on the problem of coordination failures and dominant parties.
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Democracy and dictatorship revisited
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors address the strengths and weaknesses of the main available measures of political regime and extend the dichotomous regime classification first introduced in Alvarez et al. (Stud. Comp. Int. Dev. 31(2):3-36, 1996).
Journal ArticleDOI
A weakly informative default prior distribution for logistic and other regression models
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors propose a new prior distribution for logistic regression models, called Cauchy prior, constructed by first scaling all nonbinary variables to have mean 0 and standard deviation 0.5, and then placing independent Student-t prior distributions on the coefficients.