Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in north-west England
TLDR
In this article, the authors investigated the impact of climate change on the operation of the Integrated Resource Zone (IRZ), a complex conjunctive-use water supply system in north-western England, using the UKCIP02 Medium-High (SRES A2) scenario for 2070-2100.Abstract:
. Over the last two decades, the frequency of water resource drought in the UK, coupled with the more recent pan-European drought of 2003, has increased concern over changes in climate. Using the UKCIP02 Medium-High (SRES A2) scenario for 2070–2100, this study investigates the impact of climate change on the operation of the Integrated Resource Zone (IRZ), a complex conjunctive-use water supply system in north-western England. The results indicate that the contribution of individual sources to yield may change substantially but that overall yield is reduced by only 18%. Notwithstanding this significant effect on water supply, the flexibility of the system enables it to meet modelled demand for much of the time under the future climate scenario, even without a change in system management, but at significant expense for pumping additional abstraction from lake and borehole sources. This research provides a basis for the future planning and management of the complex water resource system in the north-west of England.read more
Citations
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Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling
TL;DR: There is a need for a move away from comparison studies into the provision of decision-making tools for planning and management that are robust to future uncertainties; with examination and understanding of uncertainties within the modelling system.
Book ChapterDOI
Changes in impacts of climate extremes: Human systems and ecosystems
John Handmer,Yasushi Honda,Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz,Nigel W. Arnell,Gerardo Benito,Jerry L. Hatfield,Ismail Fadl Mohamed,Pascal Peduzzi,Shaohong Wu,Boris Sherstyukov,Kiyoshi Takahashi,Zheng Yan,Sebastián Vicuña,Avelino Suarez,Amjad Abdulla,Laurens M. Bouwer,John Campbell,Masahiro Hashizume,Fred F. Hattermann,Robert Heilmayr,Adriana Keating,Monique A. Ladds,Katharine J. Mach,Michael D. Mastrandrea,Reinhard Mechler,Carlos Nobre,Apurva Sanghi,James A. Screen,Joel B. Smith,Adonis F. Velegrakis,Walter Vergara,Anya M. Waite,Jason R. Westrich,Joshua Whittaker,Yin Yunhe,Hiroya Yamano +35 more
TL;DR: In this article, two types of impacts on human and ecological systems are examined: (i) impacts of extreme weather and climate events; and (ii) extreme impacts triggered by less-than-extreme weather or climate events (in combination with nonclimatic factors, such as high exposure and/or vulnerability).
Journal ArticleDOI
Large scale surface – subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on groundwater reserves
Pascal Goderniaux,Serge Brouyère,Hayley J. Fowler,Stephen Blenkinsop,René Therrien,Philippe Orban,Alain Dassargues +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a physically-based surface-subsurface flow model is combined with advanced climate change scenarios for the Geer basin (465 km2), Belgium, to estimate the impacts of climate change on groundwater reserves.
Journal ArticleDOI
A review of hydrological modelling of basin-scale climate change and urban development impacts.
Sarah Praskievicz,Heejun Chang +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors studied the impacts of climate change and urban development on water resources and projected potential ranges of impacts from scenarios of future change, and found that either change may amplify or ameliorate the effects of the other.
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