Predicting the evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic with the A-SIR model: Lombardy, Italy and São Paulo state, Brazil
Reads0
Chats0
TLDR
In this paper, the authors investigated a slightly generalized version of the same model and proposed a scheme for fitting the parameters of the model to real data using the time series only of the deceased individuals.About:
This article is published in Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena.The article was published on 2020-08-12 and is currently open access. It has received 42 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Population.read more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Association between COVID-19 cases and international equity indices
Nick James,Max Menzies +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the impact of COVID-19 on the populations and equity markets of 92 countries was analyzed, and it was shown that there is no relationship between countries' equity market performance and their success in managing the pandemic.
Journal ArticleDOI
Efficiency of communities and financial markets during the 2020 pandemic.
Nick James,Max Menzies +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigated the relationship between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, the state of community activity, and the financial index performance across 20 countries and found that mobility data and national financial indices exhibited the most similarity in their trajectories.
Journal ArticleDOI
Application of Mathematical Modeling in Prediction of COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics
TL;DR: In this paper , the authors summarized all the available mathematical models that have been used in predicting the transmission of COVID-19 and compared them with a case study, along with detailed comparisons of these models.
Journal ArticleDOI
Trends in COVID-19 prevalence and mortality: A year in review
Nick James,Max Menzies +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors introduced new methods to study the changing dynamics of COVID-19 cases and deaths among the 50 worst-affected countries throughout 2020, including Pakistan, United States and United Arab Emirates.
Journal ArticleDOI
Dynamics, behaviours, and anomaly persistence in cryptocurrencies and equities surrounding COVID-19
TL;DR: Surprisingly, it is found that although cryptocurrencies exhibit stronger collective dynamics and correlation in all market conditions, equities behave more similarly in their trajectories and extremes, and show greater persistence in anomalies over time.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Differential Evolution – A Simple and Efficient Heuristic for Global Optimization over Continuous Spaces
Rainer Storn,Kenneth Price +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, a new heuristic approach for minimizing possibly nonlinear and non-differentiable continuous space functions is presented, which requires few control variables, is robust, easy to use, and lends itself very well to parallel computation.
Journal ArticleDOI
A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics
TL;DR: In this article, the authors considered the problem of finding a causal factor which appears to be adequate to account for the magnitude of the frequent epidemics of disease which visit almost every population.
A Contribution to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics.
TL;DR: The present communication discussion will be limited to the case in which all members of the community are initially equally susceptible to the disease, and it will be further assumed that complete immunity is conferred by a single infection.
Journal ArticleDOI
Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
TL;DR: It is estimated that 86% of all infections were undocumented before the 23 January 2020 travel restrictions, which explains the rapid geographic spread of SARS-CoV-2 and indicates that containment of this virus will be particularly challenging.
Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand
Neil M. Ferguson,Daniel J Laydon,G Nedjati Gilani,Natsuko Imai,Kylie E. C. Ainslie,Marc Baguelin,Sangeeta N. Bhatia,A Boonyasiri,Z Cucunuba Perez,Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg,Amy Dighe,Ilaria Dorigatti,Han Fu,Katy A. M. Gaythorpe,W Green,Arran Hamlet,Wes Hinsley,Lucy C Okell,S Van Elsland,H Thompson,Robert Verity,Erik M. Volz,Haowei Wang,Y Wang,Patrick G T Walker,Caroline E. Walters,Peter Winskill,Charles Whittaker,Christl A. Donnelly,Steven Riley,Azra C. Ghani +30 more
TL;DR: Neil M Ferguson, Daniel Laydon, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, Natsuko Imai, Kylie Ainslie, Sangeeta Bhatia, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Zulma Cucunubá, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Amy Dighe, Ilaria Dorigatti, Han Fu, Katy Gaythorpe, Will Green, Arran Hamlet, Wes Hinsley, Lucy C Okell.