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Journal ArticleDOI

Theory of Energy-Balance Climate Models.

TLDR
In this article, a class of mean annual, zonally averaged energy-balance climate models of the Budyko-Sellers type are studied by a spectral (expansion in Legendre polynomials) method.
Abstract
A class of mean annual, zonally averaged energy-balance climate models of the Budyko-Sellers type are studied by a spectral (expansion in Legendre polynomials) method. Models with constant thermal diffusion coefficient can be solved exactly, The solution is approached by a rapidly converging sequence with each succeeding approximant taking into account information from ever smaller space and time scales. The first two modes represent a good approximation to the exact solution as well as to the present climate. The two-mode approximation to a number of more general models are shown to be either formally or approximately equivalent to the same truncation in the constant diffusion case. In particular, the transport parameterization used by Budyko is precisely equivalent to the two-mode truncation of thermal diffusion. Details of the dynamics do not influence the first two modes which fortunately seem adequate for the study of global climate change. Estimated ice age temperatures and ice line latitud...

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Journal ArticleDOI

A negative feedback mechanism for the long‐term stabilization of Earth's surface temperature

TL;DR: In this article, it is suggested that the partial pressure of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is buffered, over geological time scales, by a negative feedback mechanism, in which the rate of weathering of silicate minerals (followed by deposition of carbonate minerals) depends on surface temperature, which in turn depends on the carbon dioxide partial pressure through the greenhouse effect.
Journal ArticleDOI

Long-term variations of caloric insolation resulting from the Earth's orbital elements

TL;DR: In this paper, a contribution to a global a priori model of climatic changes for the Quaternary Ice Age is tentatively proposed, which includes terms dependent to the second degree on disturbing masses, to third degree on planetary eccentricities and inclinations and, for the obliquity and the annual general precession in longitude, also to earth's eccentricity.
Book ChapterDOI

Climate Sensitivity: Analysis of Feedback Mechanisms

TL;DR: In this article, a 3D global climate model was proposed for experiments in which solar irra- diance So is increased 2 percent or C02 is doubled, and the contributions of different physical processes to the cooling of the last ice age (18K years ago).
Journal ArticleDOI

Modeling the Climatic Response to Orbital Variations

TL;DR: This article summarizes how the theory has evolved since the pioneer studies of James Croll and Milutin Milankovitch, reviews recent evidence that supports the theory, and argues that a major opportunity is at hand to investigate the physical mechanisms by which the climate system responds to orbital forcing.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Greenhouse Effect: Science and Policy

TL;DR: Whether the uncertainties are large enough to suggest delaying policy responses is not a scientific question per se, but a value judgment.
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